7 1.Preliminaries mnt r amru可oatsaacoaamihwaeifeoaie Here is an elementary fact which is used all the time: 1.1.3 Lemma.For any collection of events A,....A P[UA≤∑PA, Li=1 =1 Proof.For i=1,...,n,we define B:=A;\(A:U A2 U...UAi-1). P[UA=P[UB=PB刷≤EPA 1.1.4 Definition.Events A,B are independento if P[AOB]=P[A]P[B]. More events A,A2,....An are independent if for any subset of P04:=IIP[Ad. We use the convenient notation [n]for the set {1,2.....n. The independence of A,A2,. An is not equivalent to all the pairs A,A, being independent.Exercise:find three events A,A2 and As that are pairwise independent but not mutually independent. Intuitively,the property of independence means that the knowledge of whe- ther some of the events A. ...An occurred does not provide any information regarding the remaining events. h比,(e h P(B]=PIAOB PB] toss a fair coin=hodit spravedlivou minci eads=lic (hlava) conditional probability podminena pravdepodobnost 7 1. Preliminaries This corresponds to generating the random graph by including every potential edge independently with probability p. For p = 1 2 , we toss a fair coin7 for each pair {u, v} of vertices and connect them by an edge if the outcome is heads.8 9 Here is an elementary fact which is used all the time: 1.1.3 Lemma. For any collection of events A1, . . . , An, P [n i=1 Ai ≤ Xn i=1 P[Ai ]. Proof. For i = 1, . . . , n, we define Bi = Ai \ (A1 ∪ A2 ∪ . . . ∪ Ai−1). Then S Bi = S Ai , P[Bi ] ≤ P[Ai ], and the events B1, . . . , Bn are disjoint. By additivity of the probability measure, P [n i=1 Ai = P [n i=1 Bi = Xn i=1 P[Bi ] ≤ Xn i=1 P[Ai ]. ✷ 1.1.4 Definition. Events A, B are independent10 if P[A ∩ B] = P[A] P[B] . More generally, events A1, A2, . . . , An are independent if for any subset of indices I ⊆ [n] P \ i∈I Ai = Y i∈I P[Ai ]. We use the convenient notation [n] for the set {1, 2, . . . , n}. The independence of A1, A2, . . . , An is not equivalent to all the pairs Ai , Aj being independent. Exercise: find three events A1, A2 and A3 that are pairwise independent but not mutually independent. Intuitively, the property of independence means that the knowledge of whether some of the events A1, . . . , An occurred does not provide any information regarding the remaining events. 1.1.5 Definition (Conditional probability). For events A and B with P[B] > 0, we define the conditional probability11 of A, given that B occurs, as P[A|B] = P[A ∩ B] P[B] . 7 toss a fair coin = hodit spravedlivou mincí 8 heads = líc (hlava) 9 tails = rub (orel) 10independent events = nezávislé jevy 11conditional probability = podmíněná pravděpodobnost