碰男华经海贸多大号 高级商务英语阅读 One of these trajectories is the much-discussed expansion of interorganizational computing via the Internet.Recent estimates indicate that in many branches of economic activity,10 percent to 15 percent cost savings in procurement activities will be available through the diffusion of business-to-business e-commerce:still higher percentage costs savings in procurement and related interfirm transactions are estimated not only for manufacturing,but also for service activities such as freight transport and media and advertising. A second cost-saving path is likely to emerge with the development and increasingly widespread diffusion of new,specialized,robust and comparatively inexpensive"information appliances"that have wireless communication capabilities permitting them to function as components of larger, flexible systems supporting related production tasks.The diffusion of teleworking is a third trajectory that has major potential for savings in infrastructure capital,as well as through the reduction of the costs of measures required to abate pollution and environmental degradation in congested urban areas. I am convinced that those economists who doubt that there will be significant long-term productivity payoffs from the information revolution will be proved wrong.But those payoffs will not come freely; they will entail much learning and costly organizational changes.Nor will they happen overnight- even if a domestic macroeconomic environment conducive to long-term investment continues to be maintained and we are lucky enough to escape real and financial shocks in the international economy of the serious kind that could be triggered by the current threats to peace in the Middle East. 2) ROBERT SCHILLER,Economics Professor at Yale University,author of Irrational Exuberance,a new book on the stock market bubble Every decade had its innovations.Now it is the Internet.If we didn't have the Internet we might instead expect below-average economic progress in the future.As far as I can tell,the new economy is business as usual. 第6页共14页高级商务英语阅读 One of these trajectories is the much-discussed expansion of interorganizational computing via the Internet. Recent estimates indicate that in many branches of economic activity, 10 percent to 15 percent cost savings in procurement activities will be available through the diffusion of business-to-business e-commerce; still higher percentage costs savings in procurement and related interfirm transactions are estimated not only for manufacturing, but also for service activities such as freight transport and media and advertising. A second cost-saving path is likely to emerge with the development and increasingly widespread diffusion of new, specialized, robust and comparatively inexpensive "information appliances" that have wireless communication capabilities permitting them to function as components of larger, flexible systems supporting related production tasks. The diffusion of teleworking is a third trajectory that has major potential for savings in infrastructure capital, as well as through the reduction of the costs of measures required to abate pollution and environmental degradation in congested urban areas. I am convinced that those economists who doubt that there will be significant long-term productivity payoffs from the information revolution will be proved wrong. But those payoffs will not come freely; they will entail much learning and costly organizational changes. Nor will they happen overnight - even if a domestic macroeconomic environment conducive to long-term investment continues to be maintained and we are lucky enough to escape real and financial shocks in the international economy of the serious kind that could be triggered by the current threats to peace in the Middle East. 2) ROBERT SCHILLER, Economics Professor at Yale University, author of Irrational Exuberance, a new book on the stock market bubble Every decade had its innovations. Now it is the Internet. If we didn't have the Internet we might instead expect below-average economic progress in the future. As far as I can tell, the new economy is business as usual. 第 6 页 共 14 页