PROBABILITY OF FAILURE(PF)ATTRIBUTES OF SUGGESTED TECHNOLOGY VALUE MATURITY SUPPORT BASE HARDWARE/SOFTWARE HARDWARE/SOFTWARE 0.1 Existing Simple Design Multiple Programs And Services 0.3MinorRedesign Somewhat Complex Multiple Programs o.5Major Change Feasible Fairly Complex Several Parallel Programs 0.7 Complex HW Design/ New Very Complex At Least One Other Program Sw Similar to Existing Some Research Completed/ Extremely Complex No Additional Programs Never Done Before CONSEQUENCE OF FAILURE(CE) ATTRIBUTES OF SUGGESTED TECHNOLOGY VALUE FALLBACK LIFE CYCLE COST CHEDULE FACT DOWNTIME(DT) SOLUTIONS (LCC)FACTOR (INITIAL OPERATIONAL FACTOR CAPABILITY= 10C) Several Acceptable Highly Confident 90-100% Confident Highly Confident Alternatives Will Reduce LCC Will Meet IOC Will Reduce DT Significantly 0.3 A Few Known Fairly Confident 75--90% Confident Fairly Confident Alternatives Will Reduce LCC Will Meet IoC Will Reduce DT Significantly Single Acceptable LCC Will Not 50-75%Confident Highly Confident Alternative Change Much will Meet IOC Will Reduce DT Somewhat Some possible Fairly Confident 25--50% Confident Fairly Confident Alternatives Will Increase LCC Will Meet IOC will Reduce DT Somewhat No Acceptable Highly Confident 0-25% Confident DT May Not Be Alternatives Will Increase LCC Will Meet IOc Reduced much Project Integration ManagemenProject Integration Management 24 Sample Probability/Impact Matrix for Qualitative Risk Assessment