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15.1 Some Facts in Business-Cycle Business cycle is similar, and the time series data express common rules, which includes o Output fluctuations are related to each other through different departments with time serial relation; o Industry product, consumption and investment fluctuate simul taneously with cycle, and also the government buy o Investment changes much more severely than consumption; O Employment is with the cycle while unemployment is against cycle o Real wage and average productivity is with the cycle, and the former is only slightly; o Currency supply and stock price is with cycle and lead other elements; o Inflation and nominal interest is with cycle and lag o Real interest is not seasonal 友学经济学院15.1 Some Facts in Business-Cycle ❖ Business cycle is similar, and the time series data express common rules, which includes :  Output fluctuations are related to each other through different departments with time serial relation;  Industry product, consumption and investment fluctuate simultaneously with cycle, and also the government buy;  Investment changes much more severely than consumption;  Employment is with the cycle while unemployment is against cycle;  Real wage and average productivity is with the cycle, and the former is only slightly;  Currency supply and stock price is with cycle and lead other elements;  Inflation and nominal interest is with cycle and lag;  Real interest is not seasonal
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