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·436 工程科学学报,第40卷,第4期 技术规范.北京:石油工业出版社,2011) (李俊彦,王做奎,陈祥,等.基于GS的管道工程滑坡危险 Hao J B,Liu J P,Jing H Y,et al.A calculation of landslide 性区划研究.长江科学院院报,2014,31(4):114) thrust force to transverse pipelines.Acta Petrol Sin,2012,33 [14]Du M,Zhao D F,Meng Y F.A multi-evel extension evaluation (6):1093 on failure risk of long-distance gas pipeline in landslide area.Oil (郝建斌,刘建平,荆宏远,等.横穿状态下滑坡对管道推力 Gas Stor Transp,2012,31(8)564 的计算.石油学报,2012,33(6):1093) (杜曼,赵东风,孟亦飞。滑坡地区长输天然气管道失效危 B]He JJ,Feng W,Liu C.Early waming and prevention of landslide 险的多级可拓评估.油气储运,2012,31(8):564) based on the pipe strain monitoring.Nat Gas Ind,2011,31(1): [15]Alvarado-Franco JP,Castro D,Estrada N,et al.Quantitative- 100 mechanistic model for assessing landslide probability and pipeline (贺剑君,冯伟,刘畅.基于管道应变监测的滑坡灾害预警与 failure probability due to landslides.Eng Geol,2017,222:212 防治.天然气工业,2011,31(1):100) [16]Liu Y C,Shi Y S,Lu Q C,et al.Risk assessment of geological [4]Di Y,Shuai J,Wang X L,et al.Study on methods for classifying disasters in single pipe based on scoring index method:a case oil gas pipeline incidents.Chin Saf Sci J,2013,23(7):109 study of soil landslide.Nat Gas Technol Econom,2015,9(3): (狄彦,帅健,王晓霖,等.油气管道事故原因分析及分类方 57 法研究.中国安全科学学报,2013,23(7):109) (刘迎春,石云山,卢启春,等。基于指标评分法的单体管道 [5]Huang W H,Zheng H L,Wu Z L.Overview of pipeline integrity 地质灾害风险评价一以土质滑坡为例.天然气技术与经 management application over the past decade and its prospect in 济,2015,9(3):57) future in China.Nat Gas /nd,2013,33(12):1 [17]Yao A L,Zeng Y H,Luo S,et al.Evaluation on failure possi- (黄维和,郑洪龙,吴忠良.管道完整性管理在中国应用10 bility of pipeline induced by landslide based on improves two- 年回顾与展望.天然气工业,2013,33(12):1) tuple linguistic information.J Saf Sci Technol,2017,13(6):68 [6]Ruocco E,Laoro R D,Minutolo V.An exponential matrix method (姚安林,曾跃辉,罗珊,等.基于改进二元语义的滑坡诱发 for the buckling analysis of underground pipelines subjected to 管道失效可能性评估.中国安全生产科学技术,2017,13 landslides loads.Proced Earth Planet Sci,2016,16:25 (6):68) 7]Han B,Wang Z Y,Zhao H L,et al.Strain-based design for bur- 08] Wang X P,Sun X B,Hao J B,et al.Discussion on risk classifi- ied pipelines subjected to landslides.Pet Sci,2012.9(2):236 cation of geological hazards along oil and gas pipeline.Geol Sci [8]Chen LQ,Song LQ,Wu S J,et al.FEM-based stress analysis of Technol Inform,2009,28(3):99 gas pipelines in landslide areas.Nat Gas Ind,2017,37(2):84 (王学平,孙晓滨,郝建斌,等.管道地质灾害风险分级一 (陈利琼,宋利强,吴世娟,等.基于有限元方法的滑坡地段 以忠县一武汉输气管道为例.地质科技情报,2009,28(3): 输气管道应力分析.天然气工业,2017,37(2):84) 99) Chen PC,LiJ,Liu JP.et al.Monitoring technology of pipelines 19]Zhong W,Gao J F.Hazard assessment of typical geological dis- using fiber bragg grating and its application in landslide areas asters along oil and gas pipeline.Oil Gas Stor Transp,2015,34 Chin J Geotech Eng,2010,32(6)897 (9):934 (陈鹏超,李俊,刘建平,等.光纤光栅埋地管道滑坡区监测 (钟威,高剑锋.油气管道典型地质灾害危险性评价.油气 技术及应用.岩土工程学报,2010,32(6):897) 储运,2015,34(9):934) [10]Jing H Y,Hao J B,Chen K Z,et al.Monitoring and early-warn- 20 Sarvanis G C,Karamanos S A.Analytical model for the strain ing technology and application in pipeline landslides.ChinGeol analysis of continuous buried pipelines in geohazard areas.Eng Hazard Control,2009.20 (4):124 Struct,2017,152:57 (荆宏远,郝建斌,陈开智,等.在役输油气管道沿线滑坡灾 21]Li D Y,Du Y.Artificial Intelligence with Uncertainty.2nd Ed. 害监测预警技术及应用.中国地质灾害与防治学报,2009, Beijing:National Defense Industry Press,2014 20(4):124) (李德毅,杜鹊.不确定性人工智能.2版.北京:国防工业 [11]Li D.Xu K F,Huang R Q,et al.Landslides classification of 出版社,2014) pipeline for transporting oil and gas.Welded Pipe Tube,2009, D2]Chen M,Chu F T.Evaluation of polar expedition ships based on 32(12):66 cloud model and combined weigh.Ship-build China,2017,58 (林冬,许可方,黄润秋,等.油气管道滑坡的分类.焊管, (1):193 2009,32(12):66) (陈明,褚凤天.基于云模型和组合权重的极地科考船技术 [12]Fang H,Gao JJ.A study of landslide risk assessment expert sys- 评价.中国造船,2017,58(1):193) tem along the oil and gas pipeline routes.Hydrogeol Eng Geol, 23]Fu H L,Huang Z,Huang H W,et al.Health diagnosis method 2012,39(4):126 of shield tunnel structure based on cloud theory.Chin Eng, (方浩,高姣姣.油气长输管道滑坡地质灾害危险性评价专 2017,39(5):794 家系统研究.水文地质工程地质,2012,39(4):126) (傅鹤林,黄震,黄宏伟,等.基于云理论的隧道结构健康诊 [13]Li J Y,Wang JK,Chen X,et al.Landslide hazard zonation 断方法.工程科学学报,2017,39(5):794) along pipeline project by GIS.J Yangtze River Sci Res Inst, 24]Gao H B,Xie G T,Liu H Z,et al.Lateral control of autono- 2014,31(4):114 mous vehicles based on learning driver behavior via cloud model.工程科学学报,第 40 卷,第 4 期 技术规范. 北京: 石油工业出版社,2011) [2] Hao J B,Liu J P,Jing H Y,et al. 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