沈珍瑶等:黄河流域水资源可再生性评价指标体系与评价方法 Index system and method for assessing water resources renewability of the Yellow River Basin SHEN Zhen-yao, YANG Zhi-feng (Institute of Environmental Science, Beijing Normal University, State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, Beijing 100875. China Abstract: Based on qualitative analysis of water resources renewability, the assessment index system of the Yellow River water resources renewability is established. There are 32 indexes al ther, which reflect natural, natural-artificial compound and social characteristics of the renew ablity of water resources. The values of these indexes in 9 administrative divisions consisting of 9 second-order drainage areas of the Yellow River are obtained. The gray associate method and principal component analytical method are used to screen the index system, and 19 indexes are lected as final assessment indexes. Two kinds of assessment standards of water resources re- sewability are established, one is based on the data of Yellow River Basin, the other is based on data of the whole China. It is pointed out that the assessment standard based on the data of e whole China should be used in actual assessment. Then the principal component weight method is used to determine the weight of 19 assessment indexes. Finally, the gray associate analysis method and fuzzy synthesis judgement method are used to assess the water resources re- ewability of the 9 administrative divisions and 19 second-order drainage areas of the Yellow River. The result shows that the water resources renewability of the Yellow River is rather low and the water resources renewability of the 9 administrative divisions and 19 second-order rainage areas is from moderate to low. Key words: water resource renewability; index system; assessment standard; weight; assessment C1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved! 期 沈珍瑶等：黄河流域水资源可再生性评价指标体系与评价方法 !"#$% &’&($) *"# )$(+,# -,. *&&$&&/"0 1*($. .$&,2.3$& .$"$1*4/5/(’ ,- (+$ 6$55,1 7/8$. 9*&/" "#$% &’()*+,-. /0%1 &’2*3()4 56)782898( -3 $):2;-)<()8,= ">2()>(. ?(2@2)4 %-;<,= A)2:(;728+. "8,8( B(+ C-2)8 D,E-;,8-;+ -3 $):2;-)<()8,= "2<9=,82-) ,)F G-==982-) H-)8;-=. ?(2@2)4 IJJKLM. H’2),N :4&(.*3(; ?,7(F -) O9,=28,82:( ,),=+727 -3 P,8(; ;(7-9;>(7 ;()(P,E2=28+. 8’( ,77(77<()8 2)F(Q 7+78(< -3 8’( /(==-P R2:(; P,8(; ;(7-9;>(7 ;()(P,E2=28+ 27 (78,E=27’(FS T’(;( ,;( U! 2)F(Q(7 ,=* 8-4(8’(;.P’2>’ ;(3=(>8 ),89;,=.),89;,=*,;8232>2,= >-<V-9)F ,)F 7->2,= >’,;,>8(;2782>7 -3 8’( ;()(P* ,E=28+ -3 P,8(; ;(7-9;>(7ST’( :,=9(7 -3 8’(7( 2)F(Q(7 2) W ,F<2)278;,82:( F2:272-)7 >-)72782)4 -3 IW 7(>-)F*-;F(; F;,2),4( ,;(,7 -3 8’( /(==-P R2:(; ,;( -E8,2)(FS T’( 4;,+ ,77->2,8( <(8’-F ,)F V;2)>2V,= >-<V-)()8 ,),=+82>,= <(8’-F ,;( 97(F 8- 7>;(() 8’( 2)F(Q 7+78(<.,)F IW 2)F(Q(7 ,;( 7(=(>8(F ,7 32),= ,77(77<()8 2)F(Q(7STP- X2)F7 -3 ,77(77<()8 78,)F,;F7 -3 P,8(; ;(7-9;>(7 ;(* )(P,E2=28+ ,;( (78,E=27’(F. -)( 27 E,7(F -) 8’( F,8, -3 /(==-P R2:(; ?,72). 8’( -8’(; 27 E,7(F -) 8’( F,8, -3 8’( P’-=( H’2),S68 27 V-2)8(F -98 8’,8 8’( ,77(77<()8 78,)F,;F E,7(F -) 8’( F,8, -3 8’( P’-=( H’2), 7’-9=F E( 97(F 2) ,>89,= ,77(77<()8ST’() 8’( V;2)>2V,= >-<V-)()8 P(24’8 <(8’-F 27 97(F 8- F(8(;<2)( 8’( P(24’8 -3 IW ,77(77<()8 2)F(Q(7SY2),==+.8’( 4;,+ ,77->2,8( ,),=+727 <(8’-F ,)F 39ZZ+ 7+)8’(727 @9F4(<()8 <(8’-F ,;( 97(F 8- ,77(77 8’( P,8(; ;(7-9;>(7 ;(* )(P,E2=28+ -3 8’( W ,F<2)278;,82:( F2:272-)7 ,)F IW 7(>-)F*-;F(; F;,2),4( ,;(,7 -3 8’( /(==-P R2:(;ST’( ;(79=8 7’-P7 8’,8 8’( P,8(; ;(7-9;>(7 ;()(P,E2=28+ -3 8’( /(==-P R2:(; 27 ;,8’(; =-P. ,)F 8’( P,8(; ;(7-9;>(7 ;()(P,E2=28+ -3 8’( W ,F<2)278;,82:( F2:272-)7 ,)F IW 7(>-)F*-;F(; F;,2),4( ,;(,7 27 3;-< <-F(;,8( 8- =-PS <$’ 1,.#&; P,8(; ;(7-9;>( ;()(P,E2=28+[ 2)F(Q 7+78(<[ ,77(77<()8 78,)F,;F[ P(24’8[ ,77(77<()8 <(8’-F IWL