第1期 危辉，等：一种基于MAS和GS平台的城市人口变迁模拟仿真方法 ·57 的过程大体上相吻合.本仿真模型对agent的属性 1998:5169 和行为的设计是建立在具有统计意义的、大规模的 [13 ]LUDEKE A K,MAGGD R C,RED L M.An analysis of 和宏观层次的基础上，这样做不仅可以在进行计算 anthropogenic deforestation using logistic regression and 机模拟时大大减轻庞大的计算和存储负担，更重要 GIS [J ]Joumal of Envirormental Management,1990, 31:247-259 的是以这样的粒度将agent与对象映射可以精确地 [14 ]LEGGETT C G,BOCKSTAEL N E Evidence of the 反映现实世界的物理过程.这些结果证明基于增强 effects of water quality on residential land prices [J]. GS模型的Multi-agent系统，随机过程和虚拟环境 Joumal of Envirommental Econom ics and Management, 的建立可以有效地模拟城市化过程 2000,39:121-144 参考文献： [15]BALL NG R J,TABER J T.BROWN M,et al Multiob- jective urban p lanning using a genetic algorithm [J ASCE [1 FORRESTER J W.Urban dynam ics [M Cambridge, Joumal of Urban Planning and Development,1999,125 USA:MIT Press,1969. 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