Monsoon dynamics: An idealized GCM results Precipitation a 30N Numerical results from idealized aqua-planet model: ocean surface all the globe .no orography only vary depth of the ocean mixed 30S OBS layer b 20 20 30N Model Hsur=1m 10 OBS (s w)n 0 Hsur=100m -10 30S Hsur=1m 0 90 180 270 360 Day Julian Day A monsoonal circulation can observed only (Bordoni and Schneider,2008,nature-geosci.) when the surface heat capacity is small enough. 授课教师: 张洋3授课教师:张洋 13 Monsoon dynamics: - An idealized GCM results x 20 12 x 12 x Figure 1: Rapid shifts of precipitation zones. Seasonal cycle of zonal- and pentad-mean precipitation (color contours, mm day−1) and sea-level air temperature (SAT) (grey contours) from observations in the Asian monsoon sector (a) and from aquaplanet simulations with ocean mixedlayer thickness 1 m (b) and 100 m (c). SAT is evaluated at 1000 hPa in the observations and at the lowest model level in the simulations. The contour interval for precipitation is 1 mm day−1 in (a) and 2 mm day−1 in (b) and (c); for SAT, it is 2◦C, with the solid grey line marking the 24◦C isoline. Precipitation rates in the simulations can exceed observed precipitation rates because the lower boundary in the simulations is entirely water-covered. The thick dashed line in (a) shows the latitude at which the zonal-mean topography in the Asian monsoon sector rises above 3 km. Arrows at the time axes in (a) and (b) indicate the centers of the 20-day periods for which circulations are shown in Figs. 2 and 4. Observed precipitation is from Global Precipitation Climatological Project29 data for the years 1999–2005. In this and subsequent figures, zonal means for the Asian monsoon sector are averages between 70◦–100◦E. Results are robust to changes in the averaging sector and do not change substantially if Southeast Asia is included in the averages. 13 Numerical results from idealized aqua-planet model: •ocean surface all the globe •no orography •only vary depth of the ocean mixed layer Hsur=1m Day OBS Model Figure 3: Rapid changes in near-surface zonal wind at 15◦N. Seasonal cycle of zonal- and pentad-mean near-surface zonal wind at 15◦N from observations in the Asian monsoon sector (green) and from aquaplanet simulations with ocean mixed-layer thickness 1 m (yellow) and 100 m (orange). The near-surface zonal wind is evaluated at 850 hPa in the observations and at σ = 0.85 in the simulations, where σ = p/ps is pressure p normalized by surface pressure ps. 15 OBS Hsur=1m Hsur=100m Precipitation A monsoonal circulation can observed only when the surface heat capacity is small enough. (Bordoni and Schneider, 2008, nature-geosci.)