Uncertainty Hence a purely logical approach either: ~risk falsehood(错误风险)：“A2 5 will get me there on time", or leads to conclusions that are too weak for decision making: "A25 will get me there on time if there's no accident on the bridge and it doesn't rain and my tires remain intact etc etc." (A1440 might reasonably be said to get me there on time but I'd have to stay overnight in the airport) 口卡回t·三4色，是分Q0. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Uncertainty Hence a purely logical approach either: ▶ risk falsehood (错误风险)：“A25 will get me there on time”, or ▶ leads to conclusions that are too weak for decision making: “A25 will get me there on time if there’s no accident on the bridge and it doesn’t rain and my tires remain intact etc etc.” (A1440 might reasonably be said to get me there on time but I’d have to stay overnight in the airport …)