370 福建农林大学学报(自然科学版) 第46卷 2010,330(6006):916-917 [4] MEYER W B, TURNER I B L. Changes in Land Use and Land Cover: A Global Perspective[ M]. Cambridge: Cambridge Uni- versity Press, 1994 [5]刘纪远,邓祥征.LLCC时空过程研究的方法进展[J]科学通报,2009,54(21):3251-3258 6] UNEY-EAPAP. Land Cover Assessment and Monitoring[ C]//Vol. 1-A, Overall Methodological Framework and Summary Bankok, UNNEP-EAPAP 1995 [7] TURNER B L, SKOLE D L, ANDERSON S, et al. Land use and land-cover change: Science/research plan. stockholm(Swe- den): International geosphere-biosphere program secretariat[R]. IGBP Report, 1995 [8]MORANE F. News on the land project[ J]. Global Change Newsletter, 2003, 54(6): 19-21 [9] OJIMA D S, MORAN E F, MCCONNELL W, et al. Global land project: science plan and implementation strategy[R].Paris ICSU. 2005 [10] UHRQVIST O, LINNER B O. Narratives of the past for future earth: The historiography of global environmental change re- search[J]. The Anthropocene Review, 2015, 2(2): 159-173 [1]史培军,宫鹏,李晓兵,等.土地利用/覆被变化研究的方法与实践[M].北京:科学出版社,2000 [12] XU Y, XU X, TANG Q. Human activity intensity of land surface: Concept, methods and application in China[ J]. Journal of eographical Sciences, 2016, 26(9): 1 349-1 361 [13]陈佑启,杨鹏国际上土地利用/土地覆盖变化研究的新进展[J]经济地理,2001,21(1):95-1 [14] IPCC Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis[ M ]//STOCKER T F, QIN D, PLATTNER G K, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2013 15]ROUNSEVELL M D A, PEDROLI B, ERB K H, et al. Challenges for land system science[ J]. Land Use Pe 012,29 [16]蔺卿,罗格平,陈曦LUCC驱动力模型研究综述[J]地理科学进展,2005,24(5):79-8ˉ 17] SONG X, YANG G, YAN C, et al. Driving forces behind land use and cover change in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau: a case tudy of the source region of the Yellow River, Qinghai Province, China[ J]. Environmental Earth Sciences, 2009, 59(4) 793-801. [18] BI CIK I, KUPKOVA L, JELE CEK L, et al. Influence of Natural Conditions on Land Use[M]/Land Use Changes in the Czech Republic 1845-2010. Springer International Publishing, 2015: 29-47. [19] CHEN W, WANG Y, LI X, et al. Land use/land cover change and driving effects of water environment system in Dunhuang Basin, northwestern China[ J]. Environmental Earth Sciences, 2016, 75(12):1-11 [20] KLEINGOLDEWIJK K, BEUSEN A, VANDRECHT G, et al. The HYDE 3. 1 spatially explicit database of human-induced global land-use change over the past 12 000 years[ J]. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 2011, 20(1): 73-86. [21] ACHALEW M, MARKOS A. Land use and land cover change and socioeconomic conditions nexus in the northwest highlands of Ethiopia: The case of wogeraworeda[ J]. International Journal of Research in Economics and Social Sciences, 2015, 5(8) 113-128 [22]BI CIlK I, JELE CEK L, STEPANEK V. Land-use changes and their social driving forces in Czechia in the 19th and 20th centuries[ J]. Land use policy, 2001, 18(1): 65-73 [23]XIE Y, MEI Y, GUANGJIN T, et al. Socio-economic driving forces of arable land conversion: A case study of Wuxian City China[ j]. Global Environmental Change, 2005, 15(3): 238-252 24]邵景安,李阳兵,魏朝富,等区域土地利用变化驱动力研究前景展望[J]地球科学进展,2007,22(8):798-809 [ 25] TEIXEIRA Z, TEIXEIRA H, MARQUES J C. Systematic processes of land use/ land cover change to identify relevant driving forces: Implications on water quality[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2014, 470: 1 320-1 335 26] KANIANSKA R, KIZEKOVA M, NOVA CEK J, et al. Landuse and landcover changes in rural areas during different politi cal systems: A case study of Slovakia from 1782 to 2006[J]. Land Use Policy, 2014, 36: 554-566 [ 27] PULIDO J, BOCCO G. Local perception of land degradation in developing countries: a simplified analytical framework of driv ing forces, processes, indicators and coping strategies[J]. Living Rev. Landscape Res, 2014: 8 [28]CHOUDHARY K, BOORI M S, KUPRIYANOV A, et al. Analysis of urban spatio-temporal land use/cover change and ex pansion with their driving force through remote sensing and GIS in Samara city, Russia[ C]//Advanced Materials, Mechanical２０１０ꎬ３３０(６００６):９１６－９１７. [４] ＭＥＹＥＲ Ｗ Ｂꎬ ＴＵＲＮＥＲ Ｉ Ｂ Ｌ. Ｃｈａｎｇｅｓ ｉｎ Ｌａｎｄ Ｕｓｅ ａｎｄ Ｌａｎｄ Ｃｏｖｅｒ: Ａ Ｇｌｏｂａｌ Ｐｅｒｓｐｅｃｔｉｖｅ[Ｍ]. Ｃａｍｂｒｉｄｇｅ: Ｃａｍｂｒｉｄｇｅ Ｕｎｉ￣ ｖｅｒｓｉｔｙ Ｐｒｅｓｓꎬ １９９４. [５] 刘纪远ꎬ邓祥征.ＬＵＣＣ 时空过程研究的方法进展[Ｊ].科学通报ꎬ２００９ꎬ５４(２１):３ ２５１－３ ２５８. [６] ＵＮＥＹ￣ＥＡＰＡＰ. Ｌａｎｄ Ｃｏｖｅｒ Ａｓｓｅｓｓｍｅｎｔ ａｎｄ Ｍｏｎｉｔｏｒｉｎｇ[Ｃ] ∥Ｖｏｌ. １￣Ａꎬ Ｏｖｅｒａｌｌ Ｍｅｔｈｏｄｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌ Ｆｒａｍｅｗｏｒｋ ａｎｄ Ｓｕｍｍａｒｙ. Ｂａｎｋｏｋ: ＵＮＮＥＰ￣ＥＡＰＡＰꎬ １９９５. [７] ＴＵＲＮＥＲ Ｂ Ｌꎬ ＳＫＯＬＥ Ｄ Ｌꎬ ＡＮＤＥＲＳＯＮ Ｓꎬ ｅｔ ａｌ. Ｌａｎｄ ｕｓｅ ａｎｄ ｌａｎｄ￣ｃｏｖｅｒ ｃｈａｎｇｅ: Ｓｃｉｅｎｃｅ / ｒｅｓｅａｒｃｈ ｐｌａｎ. ｓｔｏｃｋｈｏｌｍ (Ｓｗｅ￣ ｄｅｎ): Ｉｎｔｅｒｎａｔｉｏｎａｌ ｇｅｏｓｐｈｅｒｅ￣ｂｉｏｓｐｈｅｒｅ ｐｒｏｇｒａｍ ｓｅｃｒｅｔａｒｉａｔ[Ｒ]. ＩＧＢＰ Ｒｅｐｏｒｔꎬ １９９５. [８] ＭＯＲＡＮＥ Ｆ. Ｎｅｗｓ ｏｎ ｔｈｅ ｌａｎｄ ｐｒｏｊｅｃｔ[Ｊ]. Ｇｌｏｂａｌ Ｃｈａｎｇｅ Ｎｅｗｓｌｅｔｔｅｒꎬ ２００３ꎬ５４(６):１９－２１. [９] ＯＪＩＭＡ Ｄ Ｓꎬ ＭＯＲＡＮ Ｅ Ｆꎬ ＭＣＣＯＮＮＥＬＬ Ｗꎬ ｅｔ ａｌ. Ｇｌｏｂａｌ ｌａｎｄ ｐｒｏｊｅｃｔ: ｓｃｉｅｎｃｅ ｐｌａｎ ａｎｄ ｉｍｐｌｅｍｅｎｔａｔｉｏｎ ｓｔｒａｔｅｇｙ[Ｒ]. Ｐａｒｉｓ: ＩＣＳＵꎬ ２００５. [１０] ＵＨＲＱＶＩＳＴ Ｏꎬ ＬＩＮＮÉＲ Ｂ Ｏ. Ｎａｒｒａｔｉｖｅｓ ｏｆ ｔｈｅ ｐａｓｔ ｆｏｒ ｆｕｔｕｒｅ ｅａｒｔｈ: Ｔｈｅ ｈｉｓｔｏｒｉｏｇｒａｐｈｙ ｏｆ ｇｌｏｂａｌ ｅｎｖｉｒｏｎｍｅｎｔａｌ ｃｈａｎｇｅ ｒｅ￣ ｓｅａｒｃｈ[Ｊ]. Ｔｈｅ Ａｎｔｈｒｏｐｏｃｅｎｅ Ｒｅｖｉｅｗꎬ ２０１５ꎬ２(２):１５９－１７３. [１１] 史培军ꎬ宫鹏ꎬ李晓兵ꎬ等.土地利用/ 覆被变化研究的方法与实践[Ｍ].北京:科学出版社ꎬ２０００. [１２] ＸＵ Ｙꎬ ＸＵ Ｘꎬ ＴＡＮＧ Ｑ. Ｈｕｍａｎ ａｃｔｉｖｉｔｙ ｉｎｔｅｎｓｉｔｙ ｏｆ ｌａｎｄ ｓｕｒｆａｃｅ: Ｃｏｎｃｅｐｔꎬ ｍｅｔｈｏｄｓ ａｎｄ ａｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎ ｉｎ Ｃｈｉｎａ[Ｊ]. Ｊｏｕｒｎａｌ ｏｆ Ｇｅｏｇｒａｐｈｉｃａｌ Ｓｃｉｅｎｃｅｓꎬ ２０１６ꎬ２６(９):１ ３４９－１ ３６１. [１３] 陈佑启ꎬ杨鹏.国际上土地利用/ 土地覆盖变化研究的新进展[Ｊ].经济地理ꎬ２００１ꎬ２１(１):９５－１００. [１４] ＩＰＣＣ. Ｃｌｉｍａｔｅ Ｃｈａｎｇｅ ２０１３: Ｔｈｅ Ｐｈｙｓｉｃａｌ Ｓｃｉｅｎｃｅ Ｂａｓｉｓ[Ｍ] / / ＳＴＯＣＫＥＲ Ｔ Ｆꎬ ＱＩＮ Ｄꎬ ＰＬＡＴＴＮＥＲ Ｇ Ｋꎬ Ｃｏｎｔｒｉｂｕｔｉｏｎ ｏｆ Ｗｏｒｋｉｎｇ Ｇｒｏｕｐ Ｉ ｔｏ ｔｈｅ Ｆｉｆｔｈ Ａｓｓｅｓｓｍｅｎｔ Ｒｅｐｏｒｔ ｏｆ ｔｈｅ Ｉｎｔｅｒｇｏｖｅｒｎｍｅｎｔａｌ Ｐａｎｅｌ ｏｎ Ｃｌｉｍａｔｅ Ｃｈａｎｇｅ. Ｕｎｉｔｅｄ Ｋｉｎｇｄｏｍ ａｎｄ Ｎｅｗ Ｙｏｒｋꎬ ＮＹꎬ ＵＳＡ: Ｃａｍｂｒｉｄｇｅ Ｕｎｉｖｅｒｓｉｔｙ Ｐｒｅｓｓꎬ Ｃａｍｂｒｉｄｇｅꎬ ２０１３. [１５] ＲＯＵＮＳＥＶＥＬＬ Ｍ Ｄ Ａꎬ ＰＥＤＲＯＬＩ Ｂꎬ ＥＲＢ Ｋ Ｈꎬ ｅｔ ａｌ. Ｃｈａｌｌｅｎｇｅｓ ｆｏｒ ｌａｎｄ ｓｙｓｔｅｍ ｓｃｉｅｎｃｅ[ Ｊ]. Ｌａｎｄ Ｕｓｅ Ｐｏｌｉｃｙꎬ ２０１２ꎬ２９ (４):８９９－９１０. [１６] 蔺卿ꎬ罗格平ꎬ陈曦.ＬＵＣＣ 驱动力模型研究综述[Ｊ].地理科学进展ꎬ２００５ꎬ２４(５):７９－８７. [１７] ＳＯＮＧ Ｘꎬ ＹＡＮＧ Ｇꎬ ＹＡＮ Ｃꎬ ｅｔ ａｌ. Ｄｒｉｖｉｎｇ ｆｏｒｃｅｓ ｂｅｈｉｎｄ ｌａｎｄ ｕｓｅ ａｎｄ ｃｏｖｅｒ ｃｈａｎｇｅ ｉｎ ｔｈｅ Ｑｉｎｇｈａｉ￣Ｔｉｂｅｔａｎ Ｐｌａｔｅａｕ: ａ ｃａｓｅ ｓｔｕｄｙ ｏｆ ｔｈｅ ｓｏｕｒｃｅ ｒｅｇｉｏｎ ｏｆ ｔｈｅ Ｙｅｌｌｏｗ Ｒｉｖｅｒꎬ Ｑｉｎｇｈａｉ Ｐｒｏｖｉｎｃｅꎬ Ｃｈｉｎａ[ Ｊ]. Ｅｎｖｉｒｏｎｍｅｎｔａｌ Ｅａｒｔｈ Ｓｃｉｅｎｃｅｓꎬ ２００９ꎬ５９(４): ７９３－８０１. [１８] ＢＩ Ｃ ˇ ÍＫ Ｉꎬ ＫＵＰＫＯＶÁ Ｌꎬ ＪＥＬＥ Ｃ ˇ ＥＫ Ｌꎬ ｅｔ ａｌ. Ｉｎｆｌｕｅｎｃｅ ｏｆ Ｎａｔｕｒａｌ Ｃｏｎｄｉｔｉｏｎｓ ｏｎ Ｌａｎｄ Ｕｓｅ[Ｍ]∥Ｌａｎｄ Ｕｓｅ Ｃｈａｎｇｅｓ ｉｎ ｔｈｅ Ｃｚｅｃｈ Ｒｅｐｕｂｌｉｃ １８４５－２０１０. Ｓｐｒｉｎｇｅｒ Ｉｎｔｅｒｎａｔｉｏｎａｌ Ｐｕｂｌｉｓｈｉｎｇꎬ ２０１５:２９－４７. [１９] ＣＨＥＮ Ｗꎬ ＷＡＮＧ Ｙꎬ ＬＩ Ｘꎬ ｅｔ ａｌ. Ｌａｎｄ ｕｓｅ / ｌａｎｄ ｃｏｖｅｒ ｃｈａｎｇｅ ａｎｄ ｄｒｉｖｉｎｇ ｅｆｆｅｃｔｓ ｏｆ ｗａｔｅｒ ｅｎｖｉｒｏｎｍｅｎｔ ｓｙｓｔｅｍ ｉｎ Ｄｕｎｈｕａｎｇ Ｂａｓｉｎꎬ ｎｏｒｔｈｗｅｓｔｅｒｎ Ｃｈｉｎａ[Ｊ]. Ｅｎｖｉｒｏｎｍｅｎｔａｌ Ｅａｒｔｈ Ｓｃｉｅｎｃｅｓꎬ ２０１６ꎬ７５(１２):１－１１. [２０] ＫＬＥＩＮＧＯＬＤＥＷＩＪＫ Ｋꎬ ＢＥＵＳＥＮ Ａꎬ ＶＡＮＤＲＥＣＨＴ Ｇꎬ ｅｔ ａｌ. Ｔｈｅ ＨＹＤＥ ３.１ ｓｐａｔｉａｌｌｙ ｅｘｐｌｉｃｉｔ ｄａｔａｂａｓｅ ｏｆ ｈｕｍａｎ￣ｉｎｄｕｃｅｄ ｇｌｏｂａｌ ｌａｎｄ￣ｕｓｅ ｃｈａｎｇｅ ｏｖｅｒ ｔｈｅ ｐａｓｔ １２ ０００ ｙｅａｒｓ[Ｊ]. Ｇｌｏｂａｌ Ｅｃｏｌｏｇｙ ａｎｄ Ｂｉｏｇｅｏｇｒａｐｈｙꎬ ２０１１ꎬ２０(１):７３－８６. [２１] ＡＣＨＡＬＥＷ Ｍꎬ ＭＡＲＫＯＳ Ａ. Ｌａｎｄ ｕｓｅ ａｎｄ ｌａｎｄ ｃｏｖｅｒ ｃｈａｎｇｅ ａｎｄ ｓｏｃｉｏｅｃｏｎｏｍｉｃ ｃｏｎｄｉｔｉｏｎｓ ｎｅｘｕｓ ｉｎ ｔｈｅ ｎｏｒｔｈｗｅｓｔ ｈｉｇｈｌａｎｄｓ ｏｆ Ｅｔｈｉｏｐｉａ: Ｔｈｅ ｃａｓｅ ｏｆ ｗｏｇｅｒａｗｏｒｅｄａ[Ｊ]. Ｉｎｔｅｒｎａｔｉｏｎａｌ Ｊｏｕｒｎａｌ ｏｆ Ｒｅｓｅａｒｃｈ ｉｎ Ｅｃｏｎｏｍｉｃｓ ａｎｄ Ｓｏｃｉａｌ Ｓｃｉｅｎｃｅｓꎬ ２０１５ꎬ５(８): １１３－１２８. [２２] ＢＩ Ｃ ˇ ＩÍＫ Ｉꎬ ＪＥＬＥ Ｃ ˇ ＥＫ Ｌꎬ ŠＴĚＰ􀆓ＮＥＫ Ｖ. Ｌａｎｄ￣ｕｓｅ ｃｈａｎｇｅｓ ａｎｄ ｔｈｅｉｒ ｓｏｃｉａｌ ｄｒｉｖｉｎｇ ｆｏｒｃｅｓ ｉｎ Ｃｚｅｃｈｉａ ｉｎ ｔｈｅ １９ｔｈ ａｎｄ ２０ｔｈ ｃｅｎｔｕｒｉｅｓ[Ｊ]. Ｌａｎｄ ｕｓｅ ｐｏｌｉｃｙꎬ ２００１ꎬ１８(１):６５－７３. [２３] ＸＩＥ Ｙꎬ ＭＥＩ Ｙꎬ ＧＵＡＮＧＪＩＮ Ｔꎬ ｅｔ ａｌ. Ｓｏｃｉｏ￣ｅｃｏｎｏｍｉｃ ｄｒｉｖｉｎｇ ｆｏｒｃｅｓ ｏｆ ａｒａｂｌｅ ｌａｎｄ ｃｏｎｖｅｒｓｉｏｎ: Ａ ｃａｓｅ ｓｔｕｄｙ ｏｆ Ｗｕｘｉａｎ Ｃｉｔｙꎬ Ｃｈｉｎａ[Ｊ]. Ｇｌｏｂａｌ Ｅｎｖｉｒｏｎｍｅｎｔａｌ Ｃｈａｎｇｅꎬ ２００５ꎬ１５(３):２３８－２５２. [２４] 邵景安ꎬ李阳兵ꎬ魏朝富ꎬ等.区域土地利用变化驱动力研究前景展望[Ｊ].地球科学进展ꎬ２００７ꎬ２２(８):７９８－８０９. [２５] ＴＥＩＸＥＩＲＡ Ｚꎬ ＴＥＩＸＥＩＲＡ Ｈꎬ ＭＡＲＱＵＥＳ Ｊ Ｃ. Ｓｙｓｔｅｍａｔｉｃ ｐｒｏｃｅｓｓｅｓ ｏｆ ｌａｎｄ ｕｓｅ / ｌａｎｄ ｃｏｖｅｒ ｃｈａｎｇｅ ｔｏ ｉｄｅｎｔｉｆｙ ｒｅｌｅｖａｎｔ ｄｒｉｖｉｎｇ ｆｏｒｃｅｓ: Ｉｍｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎｓ ｏｎ ｗａｔｅｒ ｑｕａｌｉｔｙ[Ｊ]. Ｓｃｉｅｎｃｅ ｏｆ ｔｈｅ Ｔｏｔａｌ Ｅｎｖｉｒｏｎｍｅｎｔꎬ ２０１４ꎬ４７０:１ ３２０－１ ３３５. [ ２６] ＫＡＮＩＡＮＳＫＡ Ｒꎬ ＫＩＺＥＫＯＶÁ Ｍꎬ ＮＯＶÁ Ｃ ˇ ＥＫ Ｊꎬ ｅｔ ａｌ. Ｌａｎｄúｕｓｅ ａｎｄ ｌａｎｄúｃｏｖｅｒ ｃｈａｎｇｅｓ ｉｎ ｒｕｒａｌ ａｒｅａｓ ｄｕｒｉｎｇ ｄｉｆｆｅｒｅｎｔ ｐｏｌｉｔｉ￣ ｃａｌ ｓｙｓｔｅｍｓ: Ａ ｃａｓｅ ｓｔｕｄｙ ｏｆ Ｓｌｏｖａｋｉａ ｆｒｏｍ １７８２ ｔｏ ２００６[Ｊ]. Ｌａｎｄ Ｕｓｅ Ｐｏｌｉｃｙꎬ ２０１４ꎬ３６:５５４－５６６. [ ２７] ＰＵＬＩＤＯ Ｊꎬ ＢＯＣＣＯ Ｇ. Ｌｏｃａｌ ｐｅｒｃｅｐｔｉｏｎ ｏｆ ｌａｎｄ ｄｅｇｒａｄａｔｉｏｎ ｉｎ ｄｅｖｅｌｏｐｉｎｇ ｃｏｕｎｔｒｉｅｓ: ａ ｓｉｍｐｌｉｆｉｅｄ ａｎａｌｙｔｉｃａｌ ｆｒａｍｅｗｏｒｋ ｏｆ ｄｒｉｖ￣ ｉｎｇ ｆｏｒｃｅｓꎬ ｐｒｏｃｅｓｓｅｓꎬ ｉｎｄｉｃａｔｏｒｓ ａｎｄ ｃｏｐｉｎｇ ｓｔｒａｔｅｇｉｅｓ[Ｊ]. Ｌｉｖｉｎｇ Ｒｅｖ. Ｌａｎｄｓｃａｐｅ Ｒｅｓ.ꎬ ２０１４:８. [２８] ＣＨＯＵＤＨＡＲＹ Ｋꎬ ＢＯＯＲＩ Ｍ Ｓꎬ ＫＵＰＲＩＹＡＮＯＶ Ａꎬ ｅｔ ａｌ. Ａｎａｌｙｓｉｓ ｏｆ ｕｒｂａｎ ｓｐａｔｉｏ￣ｔｅｍｐｏｒａｌ ｌａｎｄ ｕｓｅ / ｃｏｖｅｒ ｃｈａｎｇｅ ａｎｄ ｅｘ￣ ｐａｎｓｉｏｎ ｗｉｔｈ ｔｈｅｉｒ ｄｒｉｖｉｎｇ ｆｏｒｃｅ ｔｈｒｏｕｇｈ ｒｅｍｏｔｅ ｓｅｎｓｉｎｇ ａｎｄ ＧＩＳ ｉｎ Ｓａｍａｒａ ｃｉｔｙꎬ Ｒｕｓｓｉａ[Ｃ]∥Ａｄｖａｎｃｅｄ Ｍａｔｅｒｉａｌｓꎬ Ｍｅｃｈａｎｉｃａｌ 􀅰３７０􀅰 福建农林大学学报(自然科学版) 第 ４６ 卷