As-if heuristic 16.422 Cues are equally weighted and differential weights are not considered Regression to the mean Reliability of cues Letters of recommendation -content v tone Humans are poor intuitive or clinical predictors as compared to computers Multiple cues of different information value Cognitive parsimony Humans tend to reduce load on working memory Avoid processing of cues that require mental calculatⅰonAs-if Heuristic 16.422 • Cues are equally weighted and differential weights are not considered – Regression to the mean – Reliability of cues – Letters of recommendation – content v. tone • Humans are poor intuitive or clinical predictors as compared to computers – Multiple cues of different information value • Cognitive parsimony – Humans tend to reduce load on working memory. – Avoid processing of cues that require mental calculation