·392· 智能系统学报 第3卷 [3]FENG Shan,GO Sihai,LI Xiaodong The fuzzy techno- of the ASME,2003,125(1):225-238 logical framework for a web-based decision support system [13除哲，冯允成，鲁大伟.武器装备研制项目的技术风 [C]//Proceedings of the 11 th World Multi-Conference on 险评估[J]系统工程与电子技术，2005,27(6)：1123 Systems,Cybemetics and Infomatics Orlando,2007:7- 1127 11 XU Zhe,FENG Yuncheng.LU Dawei Appraisement [4]CHA I Xudong,L IBohu Research and applicaton on serv- model of technical risk for weapon system develpment ice oriented infrastructure for netorkitized M&S[C]//Pro- [J ]Systems Engineering and Electronics,2005,27(6): ceedings of 2006 Intemational Workshop on Distributed 1123-1127. Smulation on the Grid Washington,DC,USA,2006:113- [14]KLEN J H,CORK R B.An approach to technical risk as 125 sessent [J ]Intemational Joumal of Project Manage- [5 FRANK M V.Choosing among safety mprovement strate- ment1998,16(6):345-351 gies discussion with example of risk assessment and multi- [15 ]HA MES YY,LAMBERT J,LID,et al Hierarchical criteria dec ision app roaches for NASA [J ]Reliability Engi- hobgraphic modeling for risk identification in complex sys- neering and System,1995,49:311-324 tems [C ]/IEEE Intemational Conference on Systems, [6于景元，周晓纪.综合集成方法与总体设计部[J].复杂 Man and Cybemetics Vancouver,Canada,1995:1027- 系统与复杂性科学，2004(1)：20-26 1032 YU Jingyuan,ZHOU Xiaoji Meta-syntheses and depart- [16李德毅，刘常昱，杜鹋.不确定性人工智能[J]软件 ment of integrative system design[J].Complex Systems and 学报，2004,15(11)：1583-1594 Comp lexity Science,2004 (1)20-26 LIDeyi,L U Changyu,DU Yi Artificial intelligence with [7吗珊，郭四海，周凯波，等.虚拟样机概念设计工具中 uncertainty J ]Joumal of Sofware,2004,15 (11 ) 的智能技术[)]华中科技大学学报，2007,35(8)：4851. 1583-1594 FENG Shan,GO Sihai,ZHOU Kaibo,et al Intelligent 作者简介： technology used in the tools for the concep tual design of vir- 冯珊，女，1935年生，教授，博士 tual prootypes and its evolution [J].Joumal of Huazhong 生导师.主要研究方向为复杂系统建模 University of Science and Technology,2007,35 (8):48- 与仿真，人工智能与计算智能的工程应 51 用及多Agenti系统等.承担国家级自然 [8吗珊，郭四海.面向虚拟采办的智能决策支持系统概 科学基金及国防预研基金重点科研项 念框架[J1智能系统学报，2008,3(3)：201-211 目并多次获国家及省部级科技进步奖。 FENG Shan,GO Sihai A conceptual framework or the 在国内外刊物上发表学术论文160余 BAoriented intelligent decision support system [J]CAAI 篇，其中有66篇被SCI EL STP及N- Transactions on Intelligent Systems,2008,3(3):201-211 SPEC等全文收录 [9]SH M J P,WARKENTN M.Past,present,and future of decision support technology[J].Decision Support Systems, 郭四海，男，1976年生，博士研究 2002,33(2):111-126 生，主要研究方向为建模与仿真、人工 [10 ]HEMANT K,DAN IEL J.Progress in web-based decision 智能技术及虚拟采办决策支持系统等」 support technologies decision support systems[J].Deci sion Support Systems,2007,43(4):1083-1095. [11 JMUSTAJOKIJ,RA MO P.Interactive computer support in decision conferencing to cases on off-site nuclear emer 周凯波，男，1972年生，副教授，主 gency management[J].Decision Support Systems,2007, 要研究方向为智能化集成系统.在国内 42(4):2247-2260 外刊物上发表学术论文20余篇 12 GRACE D.Technical risks and m itigaton measures in combustion turbine project deve bpment[J].Transactions 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House.All rights reserved.http://www.cnki.ner[ 3 ] FENG Shan, GUO Sihai, L I Xiaodong. The fuzzy techno2 logical framework for a web2based decision support system [C ] / /Proceedings of the 11 th World Multi2Conference on System s, Cybernetics and Informatics. O rlando, 2007: 72 11. [ 4 ]CHA I Xudong, L IBohu. Research and app lication on serv2 ice oriented infrastructure for networkitized M&S[ C ] / /Pro2 ceedings of 2006 International Workshop on D istributed Simulation on the Grid. W ashington, DC, USA, 2006: 1132 125. [ 5 ] FRANK M V. 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[ 9 ] SH IM J P, WARKENTIN M. Past, p resent, and future of decision support technology[J ]. Decision Support Systems, 2002, 33 (2) : 1112126. [ 10 ]HEMANT K, DAN IEL J. Progress in web2based decision support technologies decision support system s[ J ]. Deci2 sion Support Systems, 2007, 43 (4) : 108321095. [ 11 ]MUSTAJOKIJ, RA IMO P. Interactive computer support in decision conferencing: two cases on off2site nuclear emer2 gency management[J ]. Decision Support System s, 2007, 42 (4) : 2247 22260. [ 12 ] GRACE D. Technical risks and mitigation measures in combustion turbine p roject development[J ]. Transactions of the ASME, 2003, 125 (1) : 2252238. [ 13 ]徐 哲 ,冯允成 ,鲁大伟. 武器装备研制项目的技术风 险评估 [J ]. 系统工程与电子技术 , 2005, 27 ( 6) : 11232 1127. XU Zhe, FENG Yuncheng, LU Dawei. App raisement model of technical risk for weapon system development [J ]. Systems Engineering and Electronics, 2005, 27 ( 6) : 112321127. [ 14 ] KLEIN J H, CORK R B. An app roach to technical risk as2 sessment [ J ]. International Journal of Project Manage2 ment, 1998, 16 (6) : 3452351. [ 15 ]HA IMES Y Y, LAMBERT J, L I D, et al. H ierarchical holographic modeling for risk identification in comp lex sys2 tems[ C ] / / IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics. Vancouver, Canada, 1995: 10272 1032. [ 16 ]李德毅 ,刘常昱 ,杜 鹢. 不确定性人工智能 [J ]. 软件 学报 , 2004, 15 (11) : 158321594. L IDeyi, L IU Changyu, DU Yi. A rtificial intelligence with uncertainty[ J ]. Journal of Software, 2004, 15 ( 11 ) : 158321594. 作者简介 : 冯 珊 ,女 , 1935年生 ,教授 ,博士 生导师. 主要研究方向为复杂系统建模 与仿真 ,人工智能与计算智能的工程应 用及多 Agent系统等. 承担国家级自然 科学基金及国防预研基金重点科研项 目并多次获国家及省部级科技进步奖. 在国内外刊物上发表学术论文 160余 篇 ,其中有 66篇被 SCI、EI、ISTP及 IN2 SPEC等全文收录. 郭四海 ,男 , 1976年生 ,博士研究 生 ,主要研究方向为建模与仿真、人工 智能技术及虚拟采办决策支持系统等. 周凯波 ,男 , 1972年生 ,副教授 ,主 要研究方向为智能化集成系统. 在国内 外刊物上发表学术论文 20余篇. ·392· 智 能 系 统 学 报 第 3卷 © 1994-2009 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved. http://www.cnki.net