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( 张仪萍，李涛，王伟． 竖井地基固结概率分析的点估计法． 岩土工程学报，2007，29( 9) : 1367) ［4］ Luo W Q，Gong J． Application of Ｒosenblueth moment estimation method into probabilistic analysis of slope stability． Chin J Ｒock Mech Eng，2003，22( 2) : 232 ( 罗文强，龚珏． Ｒosenblueth 方法在斜坡稳定性概率评价中的 应用． 岩石力学与工程学报，2003，22( 2) : 232) ［5］ Yang K，Zhou C B，Zhang X，et al． Fuzzy-random reliability a￾nalysis of blocky rock mass in slopes． Chin J Ｒock Mech Eng， 2006，25( 2) : 407 ( 杨坤，周创兵，张昕，等． 边坡块状结构岩体模糊随机可靠 性分析． 岩石力学与工程学报，2006，25( 2) : 407) ［6］ Fu W X，Hu J，Liao Y，et al． Ｒeliability analysis of rock mass stability based on Hoek--Brown empirical formulas． Ｒock Soil Mech，2009，30( Suppl 2) : 214 ( 符文熹，胡静，廖异，等． 基于 Hoek--Brown 经验公式的岩体 稳定性可靠度分析． 岩土力学，2009，30( 增刊 2) : 214) ［7］ Langford J C，Diederichs M S． Ｒeliability based approach to tun￾nel lining design using a modified point estimate method． Int J Ｒock Mech Min Sci，2013，60: 263 ［8］ Abdellah W，Mitri H S，Thibodeau D，et al． Stability of mine de￾velopment intersections: a probabilistic analysis approach． Can Geotech J，2014，51( 2) : 184 ［9］ Hammah Ｒ E，Yacoub T E，Curran J H． Numerical modelling of slope uncertainty due to rock mass jointing / / Proceeding of the In￾ternational Conference on Ｒock Joints and Jointed Ｒock Masses． Tucson，2009: 7 ［10］ Hammah Ｒ E，Yacoub T E，Curran J H． Probabilistic slope a￾nalysis with the finite element method / / Proceedings of the 41st US Symposium on Ｒock Mechanics and the 4th US--Canada Ｒock Mechanics Symposium． Asheville，2008 ［11］ Hammah Ｒ E，Yacoub T，Corkum B，et al． The practical mod￾elling of discontinuous rock masses with finite element analysis / / Proceedings of the 42nd US Ｒock Mechanics Symposium: 2nd US-- Canada Ｒock Mechanics Symposium． San Francisco，2008 ［12］ Altarejos-Garcia L，Martinez-Chenoll M L，Escuder-Bueno I，et al． Assessing the impact of uncertainty on flood risk estimates with reliability analysis using 1-D and 2-D hydraulic models． Hydrol Earth Syst Sci，2012，16( 7) : 1895 ［13］ Song Y H，Huang M Q，Sun M． Application of finite 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slope instability modes． J Univ Sci Technol Beijing，2014，36( 1) : 1 ( 吴顺川，刘芳标，周喻，等． 岩体节理产状系统聚类与边坡 失稳模式分析． 北京科技大学学报，2014，36( 1) : 1) ［19］ Wu S C，Zhou Y，Gao Y T，et al． Ｒesearch on construction method of stochastic joints 3D-network model of equivalent rock mass． Chin J Ｒock Mech Eng，2012，31( Suppl 1) : 3082 ( 吴顺川，周喻，高永涛，等． 等效岩体随机节理三维网络模 型构建方法研究． 岩石力学与工程学报，2012，31( 增刊 1) : 3082) · 058 ·