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Real-time road traffic prediction http://journal.seu.edu.cnｈｔｔｐ：／／ｊｏｕｒｎａｌ．ｓｅｕ．ｅｄｕ．ｃｎ ＪｏｕｒｎａｌｏｆＴｒａｎｓｐｏｒｔａｔｉｏｎＳｙｓｔｅｍｓＥｎｇｉｎｅｅｒｉｎｇａｎｄＩｎ ｆｏｒｍａｔｉｏｎＴｅｃｈｎｏｌｏｇｙ，２０１６，１６（１）：５２ ５７．ＤＯＩ： １０．３９６９／ｊ．ｉｓｓｎ．１００９６７４４．２０１６．０１．００９．（ｉｎＣｈｉ ｎｅｓｅ） ［１７］ＣｏｕｅＣ，ＦｒａｉｃｈａｒｄＴ，ＢｅｓｓｉｅｒｅＰ，ｅｔａｌ．Ｍｕｌｔｉｓｅｎｓｏｒ ｄａｔａｆｕｓｉｏｎｕｓｉｎｇＢａｙｅｓｉａｎｐｒｏｇｒａｍｍｉｎｇ：Ａｎａｕｔｏｍｏ ｔｉｖｅａｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎ［Ｃ］／／ＩｎｔｅｌｌｉｇｅｎｔＶｅｈｉｃｌｅＳｙｍｐｏｓｉｕｍ， ＩＥＥＥ．Ｖｅｒｓａｉｌｌｅｓ，Ｆｒａｎｃｅ，２００２：４４２ ４４７．ＤＯＩ：１０． １１０９／ＩＶＳ．２００２．１１８７９８９． ［１８］ＺｅｎｇＤＨ，ＸｕＪＭ，ＸｕＧ．Ｄａｔａｆｕｓｉｏｎｆｏｒｔｒａｆｆｉｃｉｎ ｃｉｄｅｎｔｄｅｔｅｃｔｏｒｕｓｉｎｇＤｓｅｖｉｄｅｎｃｅｔｈｅｏｒｙｗｉｔｈｐｒｏｂａｂｉ ｌｉｓｔｉｃＳＶＭｓ［Ｊ］．ＪｏｕｒｎａｌｏｆＣｏｍｐｕｔｅｒｓ，２００８，３（１０）： ３６ ４３．ＤＯＩ：１０．４３０４／ｊｃｐ．３．１０．３６４３． ［１９］丁宏飞，秦政，李演洪，等．融合多源数据的 ＡＢＣ ＳＶＭ快速路交通事件检测［Ｊ］．中国安全科学学报， ２０１５，２５（６）：１６２ １６６．ＤＯＩ：１０．１６２６５／ｊ．ｃｎｋｉ． ｉｓｓｎ１００３３０３３．２０１５．０６．０２７． ＤｉｎｇＨＦ，ＱｉｎＺ，ＬｉＹＨ，ｅｔａｌ．Ｕｒｂａｎｅｘｐｒｅｓｓｗａｙｓ ｔｒａｆｆｉｃｉｎｃｉｄｅｎｔｄｅｔｅｃｔｉｏｎｂａｓｅｄｏｎｍｕｌｔｉｓｏｕｒｃｅｄａｔａ ｆｕｓｅｄｂｙＡＢＣＳＶＭ［Ｊ］．ＣｈｉｎａＳａｆｅｔｙＳｃｉｅｎｃｅＪｏｕｒ ｎａｌ，２０１５，２５（６）：１６２ １６６．ＤＯＩ：１０．１６２６５／ｊ． ｃｎｋｉ．ｉｓｓｎ１００３３０３３．２０１５．０６．０２７．（ｉｎＣｈｉｎｅｓｅ） ［２０］ ＮａｎｔｅｓＡ，ＮｇｏｄｕｙＤ，ＢｈａｓｋａｒＡ，ｅｔａｌ．Ｒｅａｌｔｉｍｅ ｔｒａｆｆｉｃｓｔａｔｅｅｓｔｉｍａｔｉｏｎｉｎｕｒｂａｎｃｏｒｒｉｄｏｒｓｆｒｏｍ ｈｅｔｅｒｏ ｇｅｎｅｏｕｓｄａｔａ［Ｊ］．ＴｒａｎｓｐｏｒｔａｔｉｏｎＲｅｓｅａｒｃｈＰａｒｔＣ：Ｅ ｍｅｒｇｉｎｇＴｅｃｈｎｏｌｏｇｉｅｓ，２０１６，６６：９９ １１８．ＤＯＩ：１０． １０１６／ｊ．ｔｒｃ．２０１５．０７．００５． ［２１］ＤａｇａｎｚｏＣＦ．Ｔｈｅｃｅｌｌｔｒａｎｓｍｉｓｓｉｏｎｍｏｄｅｌ：Ａｄｙｎａｍｉｃ ｒｅｐｒｅｓｅｎｔａｔｉｏｎｏｆｈｉｇｈｗａｙｔｒａｆｆｉｃｃｏｎｓｉｓｔｅｎｔｗｉｔｈｔｈｅｈｙ ｄｒｏｄｙｎａｍｉｃｔｈｅｏｒｙ［Ｊ］．ＴｒａｎｓｐｏｒｔａｔｉｏｎＲｅｓｅａｒｃｈＰａｒｔ Ｂ：Ｍｅｔｈｏｄｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌ，１９９４，２８（４）：２６９ ２８７．ＤＯＩ： １０．１０１６／０１９１２６１５（９４）９０００２７． ［２２］ＭｕｎｏｚＬ，ＳｕｎＸＴ，ＨｏｒｏｗｉｔｚＲ，ｅｔａｌ．Ｔｒａｆｆｉｃｄｅｎｓｉｔｙ ｅｓｔｉｍａｔｉｏｎｗｉｔｈｔｈｅｃｅｌｌｔｒａｎｓｍｉｓｓｉｏｎｍｏｄｅｌ［Ｃ］／／Ｐｒｏ ｃｅｅｄｉｎｇｓｏｆｔｈｅ２００３ＡｍｅｒｉｃａｎＣｏｎｔｒｏｌＣｏｎｆｅｒｅｎｃｅ． Ｄｅｎｖｅｒ，ＣＯ，ＵＳＡ，２００３：３７５０ ３７５５．ＤＯＩ：１０． １１０９／ＡＣＣ．２００３．１２４０４１８． ［２３］ＨｏｒｏｗｔｉｚＲ，ＭｕｎｏｚＬ，ＳｕｎＸ．Ｍｏｄｅｌｉｎｇ，ｅｓｔｉｍａｔｉｏｎ， ａｎｄｃｏｎｔｒｏｌｏｆｆｒｅｅｗａｙｔｒａｆｆｉｃ［Ｒ］．Ｅｖａｎｓｔｏｎ，ＵＳＡ： ＮｏｒｔｈｗｅｓｔｅｒｎＵｎｉｖｅｒｓｉｔｙ，２００５． ［２４］ＧｏｍｅｓＧ，ＨｏｒｏｗｉｔｚＲ．Ｏｐｔｉｍａｌｆｒｅｅｗａｙｒａｍｐｍｅｔｅ ｒｉｎｇｕｓｉｎｇｔｈｅａｓｙｍｍｅｔｒｉｃｃｅｌｌｔｒａｎｓｍｉｓｓｉｏｎｍｏｄｅｌ［Ｊ］． ＴｒａｎｓｐｏｒｔａｔｉｏｎＲｅｓｅａｒｃｈＰａｒｔＣ：ＥｍｅｒｇｉｎｇＴｅｃｈｎｏｌｏ ｇｉｅｓ，２００６，１４（４）：２４４ ２６２．ＤＯＩ：１０．１０１６／ｊ．ｔｒｃ． ２００６．０８．００１． ［２５］ＢｏｅｌＲ，ＭｉｈａｙｌｏｖａＬ．Ａｃｏｍｐｏｓｉｔｉｏｎａｌｓｔｏｃｈａｓｔｉｃｍｏｄ ｅｌｆｏｒｒｅａｌｔｉｍｅｆｒｅｅｗａｙｔｒａｆｆｉｃｓｉｍｕｌａｔｉｏｎ［Ｊ］．Ｔｒａｎｓ ｐｏｒｔａｔｉｏｎＲｅｓｅａｒｃｈＰａｒｔＢ：Ｍｅｔｈｏｄｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌ，２００６，４０ （４）：３１９ ３３４．ＤＯＩ：１０．１０１６／ｊ．ｔｒｂ．２００５．０５．００１． ［２６］ＭｕｓｏｌｉｎｏＧ，ＶｉｔｅｔｔａＡ．Ｅｓｔｉｍａｔｉｏｎｏｆｔｈｅｎｅｔｗｏｒｋｆｕｎ ｄａｍｅｎｔａｌｄｉａｇｒａｍ（ＮＦＤ）：Ａｎｕｒｂａｎａｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎｉｎｅ ｍｅｒｇｅｎｃｙｃｏｎｄｉｔｉｏｎｓ［Ｊ］． Ｔｒａｎｓｐｏｒｔａｔｉｏｎ Ｒｅｓｅａｒｃｈ Ｐｒｏｃｅｄｉａ，２０１４，３：２０５ ２１３．ＤＯＩ：１０．１０１６／ｊ．ｔｒｐｒｏ． ２０１４．１０．１０６． ［２７］高自友，吴建军，毛保华，等．交通运输网络复杂性 及其相关问题的研究［Ｊ］．交通运输系统工程与信 息，２００５，５（２）：７９ ８４．ＤＯＩ：１０．３９６９／ｊ．ｉｓｓｎ．１００９ ６７４４．２００５．０２．０１３． ＧａｏＺＹ，ＷｕＪＪ，ＭａｏＢＨ，ｅｔａｌ．Ｓｔｕｄｙｏｎｔｈｅｃｏｍ ｐｌｅｘｉｔｙｏｆｔｒａｆｆｉｃｎｅｔｗｏｒｋｓａｎｄｒｅｌａｔｅｄｐｒｏｂｌｅｍｓ［Ｊ］． ＪｏｕｒｎａｌｏｆＴｒａｎｓｐｏｒｔａｔｉｏｎＳｙｓｔｅｍｓＥｎｇｉｎｅｅｒｉｎｇａｎｄＩｎ ｆｏｒｍａｔｉｏｎＴｅｃｈｎｏｌｏｇｙ，２００５，５（２）：７９ ８４．ＤＯＩ：１０． ３９６９／ｊ．ｉｓｓｎ．１００９６７４４．２００５．０２．０１３．（ｉｎＣｈｉｎｅｓｅ） ［２８］ＬｉＳＢ，ＬｉＹ，ＦｕＢＢ，ｅｔａｌ．Ｓｔｕｄｙｏｎｓｉｍｕｌａｔｉｏｎｏｐ ｔｉｍｉｚａｔｉｏｎｏｆｄｙｎａｍｉｃｔｒａｆｆｉｃｓｉｇｎａｌｂａｓｅｄｏｎｃｏｍｐｌｅｘ ｎｅｔｗｏｒｋｓ［Ｊ］．ＰｒｏｃｅｄｉａＥｎｇｉｎｅｅｒｉｎｇ，２０１６，１３７：１ １０．ＤＯＩ：１０．１０１６／ｊ．ｐｒｏｅｎｇ．２０１６．０１．２２８． ［２９］刘新全．基于贝叶斯网络推理的道路网络级联失效 仿真［Ｊ］．交通运输系统工程与信息，２０１５，１５（２）： ２１０ ２１５，２２２．ＤＯＩ：１０．３９６９／ｊ．ｉｓｓｎ．１００９６７４４． ２０１５．０２．０３２． ＬｉｕＸ Ｑ．Ｃａｓｃａｄｉｎｇｆａｉｌｕｒｅｓｓｉｍｕｌａｔｉｏｎｏｆｒｏａｄｎｅｔ ｗｏｒｋｓｂａｓｅｄｏｎｂａｙｅｓｉａｎｎｅｔｗｏｒｋｉｎｆｅｒｅｎｃｅ［Ｊ］．Ｊｏｕｒ ｎａｌｏｆＴｒａｎｓｐｏｒｔａｔｉｏｎＳｙｓｔｅｍｓＥｎｇｉｎｅｅｒｉｎｇａｎｄＩｎｆｏｒ ｍａｔｉｏｎＴｅｃｈｎｏｌｏｇｙ，２０１５，１５（２）：２１０ ２１５，２２２． ＤＯＩ：１０．３９６９／ｊ．ｉｓｓｎ．１００９６７４４．２０１５．０２．０３２．（ｉｎ Ｃｈｉｎｅｓｅ） ［３０］ＤａｎｃｚｙｋＡ，ＤｉＸ，ＬｉｕＨＸ，ｅｔａｌ．Ｕｎｅｘｐｅｃｔｅｄｖｅｒｓｕｓ ｅｘｐｅｃｔｅｄｎｅｔｗｏｒｋｄｉｓｒｕｐｔｉｏｎ：Ｅｆｆｅｃｔｓｏｎｔｒａｖｅｌｂｅｈａｖｉｏｒ ［Ｊ］．ＴｒａｎｓｐｏｒｔＰｏｌｉｃｙ，２０１７，５７：６８ ７８．ＤＯＩ：１０． １０１６／ｊ．ｔｒａｎｐｏｌ．２０１７．０２．００２． ［３１］ＷａｎｇＬＦ，ＣｈｅｎＨ，ＬｉＹ．Ｔｒａｎｓｉｔｉｏｎｃｈａｒａｃｔｅｒｉｓｔｉｃａ ｎａｌｙｓｉｓｏｆｔｒａｆｆｉｃｅｖｏｌｕｔｉｏｎｐｒｏｃｅｓｓｆｏｒｕｒｂａｎｔｒａｆｆｉｃｎｅｔ ｗｏｒｋ［Ｊ］．ＴｈｅＳｃｉｅｎｔｉｆｉｃＷｏｒｌｄＪｏｕｒｎａｌ，２０１４，２０１４： １ ９．ＤＯＩ：１０．１１５５／２０１４／６０３２７４． ［３２］ＳｏｌｔａｎｉＡ，ＡｓｋａｒｉＳ．Ｅｘｐｌｏｒｉｎｇｓｐａｔｉａｌａｕｔｏｃｏｒｒｅｌａｔｉｏｎ ｏｆｔｒａｆｆｉｃｃｒａｓｈｅｓｂａｓｅｄｏｎｓｅｖｅｒｉｔｙ［Ｊ］．Ｉｎｊｕｒｙ，２０１７， ４８（３）：６３７ ６４７．ＤＯＩ：１０．１０１６／ｊ．ｉｎｊｕｒｙ．２０１７．０１． ０３２． ［３３］ＫａｎｇＹ，ＣｈｏＮ，ＳｏｎＳ．Ｓｐａｔｉｏｔｅｍｐｏｒａｌｃｈａｒａｃｔｅｒｉｓｔｉｃｓ ｏｆｅｌｄｅｒｌｙｐｏｐｕｌａｔｉｏｎ’ｓｔｒａｆｆｉｃａｃｃｉｄｅｎｔｓｉｎＳｅｏｕｌｕｓｉｎｇ ｓｐａｃｅｔｉｍｅｃｕｂｅａｎｄｓｐａｃｅｔｉｍｅｋｅｒｎｅｌｄｅｎｓｉｔｙｅｓｔｉｍａ ｔｉｏｎ［Ｊ］．ＰＬｏＳＯｎｅ，２０１８，１３（５）：ｅ０１９６８４５．ＤＯＩ： １０．１３７１／ｊｏｕｒｎａｌ．ｐｏｎｅ．０１９６８４５． ［３４］ＦａｎＹＸ，ＺｈｕＸＹ，ＳｈｅＢ，ｅｔａｌ．Ｎｅｔｗｏｒｋｃｏｎｓｔｒａｉｎ ｅｄｓｐａｔｉｏｔｅｍｐｏｒａｌｃｌｕｓｔｅｒｉｎｇａｎａｌｙｓｉｓｏｆｔｒａｆｆｉｃｃｏｌｌｉ ｓｉｏｎｓｉｎＪｉａｎｇｈａｎＤｉｓｔｒｉｃｔｏｆＷｕｈａｎ，Ｃｈｉｎａ［Ｊ］．ＰＬｏＳ Ｏｎｅ，２０１８，１３（４）：ｅ０１９５０９３．ＤＯＩ：１０．１３７１／ｊｏｕｒ ｎａｌ．ｐｏｎｅ．０１９５０９３． ［３５］ＮａｎｔｈａｗｉｃｈｉｔＣ，ＮａｋａｔｓｕｊｉＴ，ＳｕｚｕｋｉＨ．Ａｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎ ｏｆｐｒｏｂｅｖｅｈｉｃｌｅｄａｔａｆｏｒｒｅａｌｔｉｍｅｔｒａｆｆｉｃｓｔａｔｅｅｓｔｉｍａ ｔｉｏｎａｎｄｓｈｏｒｔｔｅｒｍｔｒａｖｅｌｔｉｍｅｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｉｏｎｏｎａｆｒｅｅｗａｙ ［Ｊ］．ＴｒａｎｓｐｏｒｔａｔｉｏｎＲｅｓｅａｒｃｈＲｅｃｏｒｄ：Ｊｏｕｒｎａｌｏｆｔｈｅ ＴｒａｎｓｐｏｒｔａｔｉｏｎＲｅｓｅａｒｃｈＢｏａｒｄ，２００３，１８５５（１）：４９ ５９．ＤＯＩ：１０．３１４１／１８５５０６． ［３６］ＭｉｎＷ Ｌ，ＷｙｎｔｅｒＬ．Ｒｅａｌｔｉｍｅｒｏａｄｔｒａｆｆｉｃｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｉｏｎ ４１０ 东南大学学报（自然科学版） 第 ４９卷