自然辩证法研究 第24卷第5期 Petersbourg,1846. 参考文献 (11)Sheynin O B.V Ya Buniakovsky's Work in the Theory of ú)北京大学哲学系外国哲学史教研室.西方哲学原著选读：上 Probability [J ]Arch.History Exact Sci.,1991,43(2): 199.223. [M].北京：商务印书馆，1981. )(古希腊)亚里士多德.物理学解[M).张竹明译.北京：商务 012)Chebyshev P L.Essay on the Elementary Analysis of the 印书馆，2004. Theory of Probability[J](1845).Reprinted,of the Au 6)Hacking I.The Emergence of Probability [M].Cambridge: thor'S Complete Works,1951(5):26-87. Cambridge University Press,1975. 013)Sheynin Oscar.Chebyshev's Lectures on the Theory of 4)Kline M.Mathematics in Western Culture [M].London: Probability [J].Arch.History Exact Sci.,1994,46(1): 321-340. Oxford University Press,1953. 6)徐传胜，曲安京.惠更斯的5个概率问题)1数学研究与评 014)Sheynin O B A.A Markov's Work on Probability [J ] 论，2007,27(4)：987-992. Arch.History Exact Sci,1989,39(3)337-377. 6)李文林.数学珍宝—历史文献精选[M】.北京：科学出版 015)MapoB AA McuHcneHHe BeposTHocTen(4 E)M] JleHHHrpa M3n IM3,1924. 社，2000 )Todhunter I.A History of the Mathematical of Theory of 016)Sheynin O B.V Ya Buniakovskys Work In The Theory Of Probability from the Times of Pascal to That of Laplace Probability [J ]Arch.History Exact Sci.,1991,43(2): 199-223. M].Cambridge and Londun:Macmillan,1865.Reprinted New York:Chelsea,1993. ú7)李文林.数学史概论[M).第二版.北京：高等教育出版社， 8)Laplace PS M De.Essai Philosophique Sur Les Probabilites 2002. 18)KonoMoropoB A H OcHole IlotrTns Teopn Beposocren [M].Paris:Courcier,1814. ©)徐传胜，曲安京.拉普拉斯的《分析概率论》研究卩].自然科 [M].MoCKBa OHTH,1936. 学史研究，2006(3)：227.237. ú9)中共中央马克思恩格斯列宁斯大林著作编译局.马克思恩 010)Bunyakovskil V Ya.The Principles of the Mathematical 格斯选集：第4卷M).北京人民出版社，1995 Theory of Probability M].Petersburg:Acad.Sci.St. A Study on the Several Evolutions of Proba bility Philosophic Thoughts XU Chuam sheng,YAN GJun (Department of Mathematics,Linyi Teachers College,Linyi Shandong 276005,China) Abstract The development of Probability philosophic thoughts,not only receives social,economical and productive forces development's influ ence,but also relates with other natural sciences and social sciences,and itself inherent contradictions of restricts about each other impetus mu tually together,which urges it to develop contradictory from the opposition to the relatively harmonious unification,forms the theory of proba bility basic content,its fundamental mode as well as its methodology significant transformation. Key words:probability philosophic thoughts:probability:random phenomenon;law of large numbers:fortuitousness (本文责任编辑王建军) 82 e 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House.All rights reserved http://www.cnki.net参考文献 〔1〕北京大学哲学系外国哲学史教研室. 西方哲学原著选读 :上 [ M]. 北京 :商务印书馆 ,1981. 〔2〕(古希腊) 亚里士多德. 物理学解[ M]. 张竹明译. 北京 :商务 印书馆 ,2004. 〔3〕Hacking I. The Emergence of Probability [ M ]. Cambridge : Cambridge University Press ,1975. 〔4〕Kline M. Mat hematics in Western Culture [ M ]. London : Oxford University Press ,1953. 〔5〕徐传胜 ,曲安京. 惠更斯的 5 个概率问题[J ]. 数学研究与评 论 ,2007 ,27 (4) :987 - 992. 〔6〕李文林. 数学珍宝 ———历史文献精选[ M ]. 北京 :科学出版 社 ,2000. 〔7〕Todhunter I. A History of t he Mat hematical of Theory of Probability from t he Times of Pascal to That of Laplace [ M ]. Cambridge and Londun : Macmillan , 1865. Reprinted New York : Chelsea ,1993. 〔8〕Laplace P S M De. Essai Philosophique Sur Les Probabilités [ M]. Paris: Courcier , 1814. 〔9〕徐传胜 ,曲安京. 拉普拉斯的《分析概率论》研究[J ]. 自然科 学史研究 ,2006 (3) :227 - 237. 〔10〕BunyakovskiǐV Ya. The Principles of t he Mat hematical Theory of Probability [ M ]. Petersburg : Acad. Sci. St . Pétersbourg , 1846. 〔11〕Sheynin O B. V Ya Buniakovsky’s Work in t he Theory of Probability [J ]. Arch. History Exact Sci. , 1991 ,43 (2) : 199 - 223. 〔12〕Chebyshev P L. Essay on t he Elementary Analysis of t he Theory of Probability[J ] (1845) . Reprinted , of t he Au2 t hor’S Complete Works , 1951 (5) :26 - 87. 〔13〕Sheynin Oscar. Chebyshev’s Lectures on t he Theory of Probability [J ]. Arch. History Exact Sci. , 1994 ,46 (1) : 321 - 340. 〔14〕Sheynin O B A. A Markov’s Work on Probability [J ]. Arch. History Exact Sci ,1989 , 39 (3) : 337 - 377. 〔15〕 МарковА А. ИсчислениеВероятностей( 4 - E) [ M ]. Ленинград: Изд. ГИЗ,1924. 〔16〕Sheynin O B. V Ya Buniakovsky’s Work In The Theory Of Probability [J ]. Arch. History Exact Sci. , 1991 ,43 (2) : 199 - 223. 〔17〕李文林. 数学史概论[ M]. 第二版. 北京 :高等教育出版社 , 2002. 〔18〕Коломогоров. А Н. ОсновныеПонятияТеорииВероятностей [ M]. Москва:ОНТИ,1936. 〔19〕中共中央马克思恩格斯列宁斯大林著作编译局. 马克思恩 格斯选集 :第 4 卷[ M]. 北京 :人民出版社 ,1995. A Study on the Several Evolutions of Probability Philosophic Thoughts XU Chuan2sheng , YAN G J un (Department of Mat hematics , Linyi Teachers’ College , Linyi Shandong 276005 ,China) Abstract :The development of Probability philosophic t houghts , not only receives social , economical and productive forces development’s influ2 ence , but also relates wit h ot her natural sciences and social sciences , and itself inherent contradictions of restricts about each ot her impetus mu2 tually toget her , which urges it to develop contradictory from t he opposition to t he relatively harmonious unification , forms t he t heory of proba2 bility basic content , its fundamental mode as well as its met hodology significant transformation. Key words : probability philosophic t houghts; probability ; random phenomenon ; law of large numbers; fortuitousness (本文责任编辑 王建军) 28 自然辩证法研究 第 24 卷 第 5 期 © 1994-2008 China Academic Journal Electronic Publishing House. All rights reserved. http://www.cnki.net