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线性回归模型和一元线性回归模型
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●t分布 ◎t分布也称“学生分布” ◎t分布是对称分布,以0为对称轴。 ①t分布是一个与自由度有关的分布
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布鲁金斯学会主席,美前总统经济顾问委员会主 席奥肯(Arthur Okun)根据美国1947-1960年 的数据,得到如下回归方程,称之为奥肯定律 y
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一、多重共线性的概念 二、多重共线性的后果 三、多重共线性的检验 四、克服多重共线性的方法 五、案例
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一、序列相关性的概念——违反基本假设的定义及违反的原因 二、序列相关性的后果——违反基本假设会造成什么样的后果 三、序列相关性的检验——怎样诊断是否违反基本假设 四、具有序列相关性模型的估计——如何消除或减弱对基本假设的违反 五、案例
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一、参数估计量的区间估计—不做介绍 二、预测值的区间估计
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Ch. 21 Univariate Unit Root process 1 Introduction Consider OLS estimation of a AR(1)process, Yt= pYt-1+ut where ut w ii d (0, 0), and Yo=0. The OLS estimator of p is given by and we also have
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Ch. 23 Cointegration 1 Introduction An important property of (1) variables is that there can be linear combinations of theses variables that are I(O). If this is so then these variables are said to be cointegrated. Suppose that we consider two variables Yt and Xt that are I(1) (For example, Yt= Yt-1+ St and Xt= Xi-1+nt.)Then, Yt and Xt are said to be cointegrated if there exists a B such
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Ch. 2 Probability Theory 1 Descriptive Study of Data 1.1 Histograms and Their Numerical Characteristics By descriptive study of data we refer to the summarization and exposition(tab- ulation, grouping, graphical representation) of observed data as well as the derivation of numerical characteristics such as measures of location, dispersion and shape
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Ch. 4 Asymptotic Theory From the discussion of last Chapter it is obvious that determining the dis- tribution of h(X1, X2, . . Xr) is by no means a trival exercise. It turns out that more often than not we cannot determine the distribution exactly. Because of the importance of the problem, however, we are forced to develop approximations the subject of this Chapter
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