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Foreword 2 Introduction 4 Risk tradition and risk trading 6 From conjecture to calculation 8 The birth of modern insurance 10 Global expansion 16 Reinsurance 24 San Francisco 26 Swiss Re History 30 Money matters 38 World War II 44 Booming economy and growing problems 46 More money matters 50 A poor start for the 21st century 54 Natural catastrophes 56 Financial catastrophes, regulation, and a positive outlook 60

一、地球系统的能量平衡 二、世界气候的异常现象与变化趋势 三、全球变暖趋势明显 四、气候变化对策 五、气候变暖问题的对策