一、拟合优度检验 二、变量的显著性检验 三、参数的置信区间

一、计量经济学及其发展 挪威经济学家弗( Frish)定义为:经济理、统计学和数学三者结合

常用的经济计量软件 EViews (Econometric Views) RATS (Regression Analysis of Time Series) SAS (Statistical Analysis System) SPSS (Statistical Package for Social Science) TSP

1 Goodness of Fit Statistics We would like some measure of how well our regression model actually fits the data.* We have goodness of fit statistics to test this: i.e. how well the sample regression function (srf) fits the data. The most common goodness of fit statistic is known as R2. One

1 Motivations All the models we have looked at thus far have been single equations models of the form y=XB+u All of the variables con

一、本章是课程的重点内容之一。通过教学,要求学生达到: 二、了解(最低要求):线性联立方程计量经济学模型的基本概念,线性联立方程模型的矩阵表示,有关模型识别的概念和实用的识别方法,几种主要的单方程估计方法(间接最小二乘法、工具变量法、两阶段最小二乘法)的原理与应用

1 An Excursion into Non-linearity land Motivation: the linear structural (and time series) models cannot explain a number of important features common to much financial data

一、狭义的工具变量法（IV） 二、间接最小二乘法(ILS) 三、二阶段最小二乘法(2SLS) 四、三种方法的等价性证明 五、简单宏观经济模型实例演示 六、主分量法的应用 七、其它有限信息估计方法简介 八、k级估计式

一、E(Y)的置信区间 二、Y的置信区间

一、模型参数的线性约束 二、对回归模型增加或减少解释变量 三、参数的稳定性 *四、非线性约束