16886-Feb3,2004 Commercial trends Bartowski(FedEx)"Future Concepts for Air Cargo Delivery, AIAA Paper 2003-2629 Freighter fleet expected to double in 20 years 90%of fleet capacity in wide-body aircraft in 20 years leading to 23% grown in payload capacity Growth is in the middle market" between air and surface for world wide freight market Analysis of Future Air Cargo Demand in China Jiang et al MIT ICAt), Market and Infrastructur Air cargo growth through China airports expected to grow at 11.2% per annum for next 20 years Includes both domestic and import/export16.886 - Feb 3, 2004 Commercial Trends • Bartowski (FedEx) “Future Concepts for Air Cargo Delivery”, AIAA Paper 2003-2629 – Freighter fleet expected to double in 20 years – 90% of fleet capacity in “wide-body” aircraft in 20 years leading to 23% grown in payload capacity – Growth is in the “middle market” between air and surface for world wide freight market. • Jiang, et al (MIT ICAT), “Market and Infrastructure Analysis of Future Air Cargo Demand in China” – Air cargo growth through China airports expected to grow at 11.2% per annum for next 20 years. Includes both domestic and import/export