16886-Feb3,2004 Commercial trends- Contd Allison, et al"Expedited Transport Airlines", Final Report for 16.899 Air Transportation System architecting World air cargo and freight to grow at 6.4-6.5%per year for next 10 years Total worldwide freight shipping expected to go from 132 to 383 Freight- Ton-Kilometers in 20 years Freighter Fleet to grow from 1, 775 to 3, 078, including retirement of 1, 228 old freighters, mostly narrow body ong range freighter segment will be the fastest growing Standard shipments take 4-6 days with only 10-15%time in the air. Most the time is ground transport, handling, waiting Top 10 markets will generate 40% of global airfreight in next 10 years Intra asia, China→ Europe, China→ North america, North America台→ Asia, Europe o> Asia, North America Europe, DomestIc USA Lots of good data in this report from last year's class16.886 - Feb 3, 2004 Commercial Trends - Cont’d • Allison, et al “Expedited Transport Airlines”, Final Report for 16.899 Air Transportation System Architecting. – World air cargo and freight to grow at 6.4-6.5% per year for next 10 years. – Total worldwide freight shipping expected to go from 132 to 383 Freight￾Ton-Kilometers in 20 years. – Freighter Fleet to grow from 1,775 to 3,078, including retirement of 1,228 old freighters, mostly narrow body. – Long range freighter segment will be the fastest growing – Standard shipments take 4-6 days with only 10-15% time in the air. Most the time is ground transport, handling, waiting. – Top 10 markets will generate 40% of global airfreight in next 10 years: Intra Asia, China ⇒ Europe, China ⇒ North America, North America ⇔ Asia, Europe ⇔ Asia, North America ⇔ Europe, Domestic USA Lots of good data in this report from last year’s class