Jikun Huang, scott rozelle, and mark w. rosegrant 761 Appendix E TABLE EI DEMAND FOR FEED GRAIN UNDER ALTERNATIVE POPULATION AND INCOME GROWTH SCENARIOS IN CHINA 2010-2 FEED GRAIN(Million Metric Tons) 2010 Baseline population growth ome qrow 294 High-income growth base year(993-35 eed grain is 93 million metri Notes We would like to acknowledge the helpful comments and insights re- ceived from Mercy Agcaoili, Nikos Alexandratos, Kym Anderson, Colin Carter, Fred Crook, Shenggen Fan, Mahabub Hossain, D. Gale Johnson, Keijiro Otsuka Scott Pearson, Prabhu Pingali, Per Pinstrup-Andersen, Carl Pray, Dan Sumner, Francis Tuan, and participants in a number of seminars in China and elsewhere. The financial support of the International Development Research Center in Sin- gapore, the Government of Japan, and the Rockefeller Foundation is greatly ap- preciated. The support of the Hoover Institution and the Giannini Foundation L. Brown."How Could China Starve the world? Its boom is consum ing Global Food Supplies, Washington Post(August 28, 1994),*Outlook' 2. Grain includes rice in milled weight, wheat, maize, other coarse grains and so 3. An alternative explanation for the seeming contradiction of declinin imports along with rising meat demand has been suggested by Fred Crook of the usdas economic research Service. He believes that grain production may be underestimated by as much as 10%, some of which may have contributed to growing farm stocks in the 1980s that were used as feed and food in the early 990s 4. S Fan and M. C. A. Agcaoili, Why Do Projections on China,'s Food Supply and Demand Differ?Environment, Production, and Technology Divi sion Discussion Paper no, 22(International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, D.C., 1997) 5, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, ""Abstract of the Compre- Copyright@ 1999. All rights reservedCopyright © 1999. All rights reserved