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758 Economic Development and Cultural Change Appendix b TABLE BI SSUMPTIONS ON THE GROWTH OF FACTORS AFFECTING GRAIN SUPPLY ANNUAL GROWTH RATE(%) FACTORS Low Baseline High Output and input prices 0 Other grain Land and labor ental factors: 05500 2 Erosion 2 NOTE -Agricultural research and imigation expenditures are extrapo- ted from recent trends and are adjusted based on Li Peng, National econ and Social Development for the Ninth Five-Year Plan and 2010 Lon iam of Cost of Production Data(Beijing: State Price Bureau Press, 1988 ( total revenues) net of expenditures for labor (including own labor value bae wage), farm chemicals, and other cash expenses. Output price IMPACT model reported in M. Rosegrant, M. Agcaoili, and N. Pere cy Research Ins Washington, D.C., 1995). Fertilizer price trends are similar to those used by the World Bank, Agriculture to the Year 2000, a World Bank Country Study (Washington, D. C. World Bank, 199 Annex 2 to China: Lon Term Development Issues and Opti The trends in the deterioration of the environment are based on extrapolations of past trends Copyright@ 1999. All rights reservedCopyright © 1999. All rights reserved
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