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[14]倪红福,李善同,何建武.人口结构变化对消费结构及储蕃率的 外因的机理分析门商业经济研究,2018,(14)36-38 影响分析[人口与发展,2014,(5):25-34 [8]刘向东,米壮.中国居民消费处于升级状态吗——基于 15]林晓珊.增长中的不平等:从消费升级到消费分层[浙江学刊 CGSS2010CGS2017数据的研究经济学家,2020,(186-97 017,03):112-120. [19 Ronald, E, and Peter, D Input-Output Analysis Foundations and !6]杜丹清.互联冈助推消费升级的动力机制研究卩经济学家 Extensions(Second Edition)[M Cambridge: Cambridge University 2017,(3):48-54 Press,2009:2-4 [1冂陈鹏.技术进步、产品创新对消费升级的影响——基于内生与 (责任编辑:湘潭大学张磊) Changes and Trends of Consumption Structure of Chinese Residents Analysis Based on Sino-US Input-Output Tables NI Hong-fu JI Cheng (1. Institute of Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100836, China; 2. The American Research Department, University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 102488, China) Abstract: The upgrading of residents'consumption structure has become a widespread concern. This paper uses the data of Chinas input-output tables over the years to analyze the changes and development trends of Chinas residents'consumption structure. The comparative analysis of the consumption structure data in the input-output tables of China and the United States from 1971 to 2017 analyzes the upgrade direction and potential of the consumption structure of Chinese residents from the consumption structure and trend at the per capita GDP of US 10,000. It is found that: (1)With the increase of the level of economic development and income, the consumption expenditure of Chinese residents has maintained a rapid growth trend. However, the growth rate of urban residents' consumption is much larger than that of rural residents. (2) Since 1971, the share of consumer spending in the primary industry in the United States has not changed much, basically stable at 1.2%. At the same time, the proportion of China's consumer spending on the primary industry dropped from 36.6% in 1997 to 8.2% in 2017, with an average annual decline of.7%. With the continuous improvement of residents' income level and consumption capacity, the proportion of China's primary industry consumption will further decline. (3)The proportion of consumption of the secondary industry in both China and the United States has shown a downward trend, but China has fallen at a high level. In the future, the proportion of consumption of the secondary industry in China will further decline. However, the trends of subdivided sectors in the secondary industry are heterogeneous (4)The proportions of consumer spending on the tertiary industry in both China and the United States are increasing, and China's growth rate is much larger than that in the United States, but the proportion of Chinese residents' service consumption in consumer spending is lower than the United States by about 10%. With the development of China's economy, the proportion of Chinas service industry consumption will further increase Key Words: Consumption Structure, Input-Output Table; Consumption UpgradeChanges and Trends of Consumption Structure of Chinese Residents: Analysis Based on Sino-US Input-Output Tables NI Hong-fu1 JI Cheng2 (1. Institute of Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100836, China; 2. The American Research Department, University ofChinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 102488, China) Abstract: The upgrading of residents’consumption structure has become a widespread concern. This paper uses the data of China’s input-output tables over the years to analyze the changes and development trends of China’s residents’consumption structure. The comparative analysis of the consumption structure data in the input-output tables of China and the United States from 1971 to 2017 analyzes the upgrade direction and potential of the consumption structure of Chinese residents from the consumption structure and trend at the per capita GDP of US $ 10,000. It is found that: (1) With the increase of the level of economic development and income, the consumption expenditure of Chinese residents has maintained a rapid growth trend. However, the growth rate of urban residents' consumption is much larger than that of rural residents. (2) Since 1971, the share of consumer spending in the primary industry in the United States has not changed much, basically stable at 1.2%. At the same time, the proportion of China's consumer spending on the primary industry dropped from 36.6% in 1997 to 8.2% in 2017, with an average annual decline of 0.7%. With the continuous improvement of residents' income level and consumption capacity, the proportion of China's primary industry consumption will further decline. (3) The proportion of consumption of the secondary industry in both China and the United States has shown a downward trend, but China has fallen at a high level. In the future, the proportion of consumption of the secondary industry in China will further decline. However, the trends of subdivided sectors in the secondary industry are heterogeneous. (4) The proportions of consumer spending on the tertiary industry in both China and the United States are increasing, and China's growth rate is much larger than that in the United States, but the proportion of Chinese residents' service consumption in consumer spending is lower than the United States by about 10% . With the development of China's economy, the proportion of China's service industry consumption will further increase. Key Words: Consumption Structure; Input-Output Table; Consumption Upgrade [14] 倪红福, 李善同, 何建武. 人口结构变化对消费结构及储蓄率的 影响分析[J]. 人口与发展, 2014, (5): 25-34. [15] 林晓珊. 增长中的不平等: 从消费升级到消费分层[J]. 浙江学刊, 2017, (3): 112-120. [16] 杜丹清. 互联网助推消费升级的动力机制研究[J]. 经济学家, 2017, (3): 48-54. [17] 陈 鹏. 技术进步、产品创新对消费升级的影响——基于内生与 外因的机理分析[J]. 商业经济研究, 2018, (14): 36-38. [18] 刘向东, 米 壮. 中国居民消费处于升级状态吗——基于 CGSS2010、CGSS2017数据的研究[J].经济学家, 2020,(1): 86-97. [19] Ronald, E., and Peter, D. Input-Output Analysis Foundations and Extensions (SecondEdition)[M].Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 2009: 2-4. 渊责任编辑院湘潭大学 张磊冤 12
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