1.使用范围:第一章导论 2.要考核的知识点:影响供求的因素; 均衡价格的决定及其变动趋势;

毫无疑问贸易保护对世界福利是一种损害,但如何才能消除贸易壁垒实现自由贸易 呢?我们在前一章已经指出,寄希望于各国自觉采取单边贸易自由化是行不通的,必须各国 达成共识,一起采取行动,才能最终实现自由贸易。但是根据博弈论的观点,国家数目越多, 达成合作结果就越困难,反之当国家数目较少时,就比较容易达成合作

国家社科基金重大项目：《中美经贸博弈的经济影响及我国对策研究》进展情况简报

对策论 本章来介绍对策论(game theory) 对策是有厉害冲突的各方所分别采取的决策对策论,亦称为博弈论,研究具有对抗、竞争、冲突性质的问题 对策论的思想古已有之,如我国战国时期的“齐王与田忌赛马”最早利用数学方法来研究对策论的是数学家E. Zermelo,他于1912年发表了论文《关于集合论在象棋对策中的应用》.1944年

Eco514 Game Theory Problem Set 5: Due Tuesday, November 23 From OR:226.1,227.1,229.1,237.1,243.1 For 243.1, also prove that the reputational equilibrium is sequential

Marciano Siniscalchi Game Theory (Economics 514) Fall 1999 Logistics We(provisionally) meet on Tuesdays and Thursdays 10: 40a-12: 10p, in Bendheim 317. I will create a mailing list for the course. Therefore please send me email at your earliest convenience so I can add you to the list. You do not want to miss important announcements, do you?

Eco514 Game Theory Problem Set 4: Due Tuesday, November 9 1. Machines Extend Proposition 151.1 (the Perfect Folk Theorem with discounting) to arbitrary mixtures of payoff profiles of the original game G =(, (A Ui) ) Allow for both rational and real weights on the set of profiles {u(a): a E A}; note that the statement of the result will involve an approximation of the payoff profile

Eco514 Game Theory Problem Set 2: Due Thursday, October 14 Recall the following definitions: in any model M=(, (Ti, a: )eN), Ri is the event \Player i is rational\; R ien. Also, (E) is the event \Player i is certain that E is true\ and(E) NieN B (). This is as in Lecture 7

Eco514 Game Theory The Trembling Hand: Normal-Form Analysis and Extensive-Form Implications Marciano Siniscalchi January 10, 2000 Introduction: Invariance In their seminal contribution, Von Neumann and Morgenstern argue that the normal form of a game contains all \strategically relevant\ information. This view, note well, does not invalidate or trivialize extensive-form analysis; rather, it leads those who embrace it to be suspicious of extensive-form solution concepts which yield different predictions in distinct

Eco514 Game Theory Forward Induction Marciano Siniscalchi January 10, 2000 Introduction One of the merits of the notion of sequential equilibrium is the emphasis on out-of- equilibrium beliefs-that is, on beliefs (about past and future play)at information sets that should not be reached if given equilibrium is played. The key insight of extensive-form analysis is that out-of-equilibrium beliefs deter