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北京大学光华管理学院:《证券投资学》课程教学资源(PPT课件)第5章 资本资产定价(CAPM)理论
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现金流贴现法Discounted Cash Flow Method,简称 DCF),又称收入法或收入资本化法。 DCF认为任何资产的内在价值( Intrinsic value) 取决于该资产预期的现金流的现值
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Discount model is in terms of conditional moments The first order condition is,u'( BE, [u'(c )x 1] The expectation is conditional expectation on investor's time t information; The basic pricing equation is P, =E, (m +1X1+)
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Predictions and applications CAPM: in market equilibrium, investors are only rewarded for bearing the market risk; APT: in the absence of arbitrage, investors are only rewarded for bearing the factor risk Applications: ---professional portfolio managers: evaluating security returns and
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Consumption-Based Model and Basic Pricing model Basic question to decide for an investor: (1) how much to save; (2)how much to consume; (3)what portfolio of assets to hold. Pricing equation come from the first order condition for this decision
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Outline MM ean-variance analysis; ean-variance analysis and utility maximization; Does high moment matter?
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Discussion Points How to measure returns? How to choose benchmark? How to adjust for risk? Performance attribution. Active return and risk
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Introduction Overview of investment styles; Empirical evidence on returns of small capitalization firms and value stocks; How to identify investment styles of a mutual fund Characteristic-based style analysis Return-based style analysis Style benchmarks
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INVESTMENTS Fourth Edition Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMHD Do security prices reflect information Why look at market efficiency Implications for business and corporate finance Implications for investment
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Arbitrage Pricing Theory Arbitrage-arises if an investor can construct a zero investment portfolio with a sure profit Since no investment is required, an investor can create large positions to secure large levels of profit
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