11-1: utput, Unemployment, and Inflation 11-2: The Medium Run 11-3: Disinflation: A First Pass 11-4: Expectations, Credibility, and Nominal Contracts 11-5: The U.S. Disinflation, 1979 to 1985
In the special case when E's are conditionally independent(though they all depend on the alternative, Ak), P(, E2..)= P(A... -)P() ()P) This is easy to do and can be done recursively