Why study econometrics? Rare in economics(and many other areas without labs! ) to have experimental data Need to use nonexperimental. or observational data to make inferences eImportant to be able to apply economic theory to real world data Economics 20- Prof. Anderson

第一节 外汇与汇率 第二节 国际金融市场 第三节 国际货币体系

第一节 战后国际贸易的发展 第二节 国际贸易政策及理论演变 第三节 多边贸易体制的发展

1. Which of the following best explains why wages in service industries have increased along with wages in manufacturing industries, even though service industry productivity has not increased as much? because

1. A situation is efficient if a. no change can help some people without hurting others. b. the gain for some people offsets the loss for others. .C. the gain for some people more than offsets the loss to others. d. consumer surplus is maximized. e. producer surplus is maximized

一、专家预测法 二、Delphi法 三、主观概率法

一、预测模型结构 二、预测模型的参数确定 三、预测模型的检验 四、用预测模型进行预测 五、预测结果的精确度

决策准则: 一、期望值决策 二、边际分析法 三、效用分析法 决策使用模型形式: 1、决策表 2、决策树 3、矩阵法

一、概述 二、AHP法的基本步骤 三、AHP法的优缺点

第十二章效用理论 一、效用的概念 二、效用曲线及其测定 三、效用函数的类型 四、效用决策(表格法、矩阵法、决策法)