Principle of safety part 6
PART 6 Principle of safety
1 Acc ident prediction Accident prevention
1 Accident prediction 2 Accident prevention
ACcident prediction
1 Accident prediction
1.1 Forecast related basic concepts >Predict Forecasting refers to measuring the future events according to certain methods and laws on the basis of mastering the existing information, so as to know in advance the process and results of the development of the matter. > Accident prediction Accident prediction refers to fully understanding and mastering the various risk factors that may cause accidents and their causal relationships, and inferring their development and possible consequences and possible Consequences
1.1 Forecast related basic concepts ➢Predict Forecasting refers to measuring the future events according to certain methods and laws on the basis of mastering the existing information, so as to know in advance the process and results of the development of the matter. ➢Accident prediction Accident prediction refers to fully understanding and mastering the various risk factors that may cause accidents and their causal relationships, and inferring their development and possible consequences and possible consequences
>Purpose of accident prediction The accident prediction is to identify and control the danger, and take countermeasures in advance to minimize the possibility of accidents Advanced >Characteristics of accident prediction Dependent Not precise enough
➢Purpose of accident prediction The accident prediction is to identify and control the danger, and take countermeasures in advance to minimize the possibility of accidents. ➢Characteristics of accident prediction: Advanced Dependent Not precise enough
1.2 Prediction principle Coherent principle System principle Seeking truth from Mass observation The various stages of accident.Think of prediction objects principle principle development are continuous and various events as a In the process of forecasting, it. Forecasting is based on a and stable. Coherent system, conduct is necessary to proceed from large amount of data analysis, principles and research can be comprehensive investigation objective facts, respect from which to find out the used to speculate and make and research historical data, and analyze general rules, to avoid accurate predictions from the comprehensively analyze future trends with reference to partiality. past. problems, prevent one past accident development idedness, and improve the laws in order to obtain more scientific nature of prediction accurate predictionresults
1.2 Prediction principle Coherent principle • The various stages of accident development are continuous and stable. Coherent principles and research can be used to speculate and make accurate predictions from the past. System principle • Think of prediction objects and various events as a system, conduct comprehensive investigation and research, comprehensively analyze problems, prevent onesidedness, and improve the scientific nature of prediction. Seeking truth from principle • In the process of forecasting, it is necessary to proceed from objective facts, respect historical data, and analyze future trends with reference to past accident development laws in order to obtain more accurate prediction results. Mass observation principle • Forecasting is based on a large amount of data analysis, from which to find out the general rules, to avoid partiality
1.2 Forecasting process Develop countermeasures Ask an expert Adopt a suitable method Discover the precursors as early as possible
1.2 Forecasting process Discover the precursors as early as possible Adopt a suitable method Ask an expert Develop countermeasures
Discover the precursors as ear ly as possible Enterprise security managers should always pay attention to unexpected events that may have a greater impact on the production and operation of the company and strive to find the precursors of their occurrence as early as possible. When a precursor appears, predict whether the event will occur and when
◆Discover the precursors as early as possible Enterprise security managers should always pay attention to unexpected events that may have a greater impact on the production and operation of the company, and strive to find the precursors of their occurrence as early as possible. When a precursor appears, predict whether the event will occur and when
Adopt a suitable method The analysis and prediction of accidents is mainly based on the obtained data and information, based on daily experience, using causal relationship analysis and logical reasoning ◆ Ask an expert Due to the limitations of their environment and status, enterprise workers often have limitations in understanding and understanding many things. In order to make correct predictions, relevant experts can be consulted to analyze and based on their knowledge, experience, wisdom and judgment, prediction
◆Adopt a suitable method The analysis and prediction of accidents is mainly based on the obtained data and information, based on daily experience, using causal relationship analysis and logical reasoning. Due to the limitations of their environment and status, enterprise workers often have limitations in understanding and understanding many things. In order to make correct predictions, relevant experts can be consulted to analyze and based on their knowledge, experience, wisdom and judgment,prediction. ◆Ask an expert
Develop countermeasures Enterprises must not only predict the impact of accidents on their own production and operation, but also develop corresponding countermeasures ()The impact of different accidents on the production and operation of enterprises is different The impact of some accidents on the production and operation of enterprises is short-lived, and here is no such thing as a period of time. When analyzing and forecasting for this, you should consider the length of time it takes to influence, and predict the new impact that will be brought to the company once the impact disappears (2) Pay attention to the indirect impact of the event. Not all accidents will have a direct impact on the production and operation of the enterprise, but it will have an impact on other aspects related to the production of the enterprise. Therefore, when forecasting unexpected events, enterprises should broaden their horizons, consider more comprehensive, and make policies more carefu
◆Develop countermeasures Enterprises must not only predict the impact of accidents on their own production and operation, but also develop corresponding countermeasures: (1) The impact of different accidents on the production and operation of enterprises is different. The impact of some accidents on the production and operation of enterprises is short-lived, and there is no such thing as a period of time. When analyzing and forecasting for this, you should consider the length of time it takes to influence, and predict the new impact that will be brought to the company once the impact disappears. (2) Pay attention to the indirect impact of the event. Not all accidents will have a direct impact on the production and operation of the enterprise, but it will have an impact on other aspects related to the production of the enterprise. Therefore, when forecasting unexpected events, enterprises should broaden their horizons, consider more comprehensive, and make policies more carefully