Prospects for Cross-Strait Relations Week 11
Prospects for Cross-Strait Relations Week 11
Week 11:Teaching Outline Economic and cultural ties Continuing Conciliation Without Formal Political Agreement? Preconditions for and Contents of Political Talks Prospects for China's Peaceful Unification
Week 11: Teaching Outline • Economic and cultural ties • Continuing Conciliation Without Formal Political Agreement? • Preconditions for and Contents of Political Talks • Prospects for China’s Peaceful Unification
1.Economic and cultural ties Fewer agreements,more cooperation in implementing previous agreements -21agreements (mostly related to economic issues)signed since 2008,particularly the first 2 years(4 meetings,12 agreements) Old issues left over by the previous administration because of tension between the two sides prior to 2008
1. Economic and cultural ties • Fewer agreements, more cooperation in implementing previous agreements – 21agreements (mostly related to economic issues) signed since 2008, particularly the first 2 years (4 meetings,12 agreements) • Old issues left over by the previous administration because of tension between the two sides prior to 2008
1.Economic and cultural ties Easier things first Impact of elections on cross-strait talks -One meeting session between ARATS and SEF in from 2011-2013 with 9 agreements singed
1. Economic and cultural ties • Easier things first •Impact of elections on cross-strait talks –One meeting session between ARATS and SEF in from 2011-2013 with 9 agreements singed
1.Economic and cultural ties -Further institutionalizing cross-strait exchange New areas for cooperation and agreements in the coming years Possibilities of representative offices of ARATS and SEF on the other side of the Strait Meetings between Xi and Ma?
1. Economic and cultural ties – Further institutionalizing cross-strait exchange • New areas for cooperation and agreements in the coming years • Possibilities of representative offices of ARATS and SEF on the other side of the Strait • Meetings between Xi and Ma?
2.Continuing Conciliation Without Formal Political Agreement? Priority in Ma's comments (2012)on the lron Triangle cross-strait relations,foreign relations,national defense (as a peace maker) No Surprise for Washington Institutionalizing cross-strait peace Both sides of the strait belong to one China (creative ambiguity)
2. Continuing Conciliation Without Formal Political Agreement? • Priority in Ma’s comments (2012) on the Iron Triangle – cross-strait relations, foreign relations, national defense (as a peace maker) – No Surprise for Washington • Institutionalizing cross-strait peace – Both sides of the strait belong to one China (creative ambiguity)
2.Continuing Conciliation Without Formal Political Agreement? Distinction between sovereignty and governance Not mutual recognition on sovereignty, not mutual denial on governance Not mutual denial and mutual recognition One country,two areas(toward clarity) Comparing with one state on each side of the strait (clarity on the other end)
2. Continuing Conciliation Without Formal Political Agreement? • Distinction between sovereignty and governance • Not mutual recognition on sovereignty, not mutual denial on governance • Not mutual denial and mutual recognition • One country, two areas (toward clarity) • Comparing with one state on each side of the strait (clarity on the other end)
2.Continuing Conciliation Without Formal Political Agreement? -More words for the first angle than the 2nd and 3rd one -Tension between M and D,art of balance Arms sales to Taiwan(From F-16 A/B to F-6C/D,even F-35?)
2. Continuing Conciliation Without Formal Political Agreement? –More words for the first angle than the 2nd and 3rd one –Tension between M and D, art of balance • Arms sales to Taiwan (From F-16 A/B to F-6C/D, even F-35?)
2.Continuing Conciliation Without Formal Political Agreement? The thorny issue of Taiwan's international participation has been resolved case by case since 2008,without a package deal Taiwan's diplomatic allies have surprisingly remained unchanged for 5 years (Gambia); Taiwan's participation in WHA Ma's request in his inauguration speech: activities in International Civil Aviation Organization(ICAO)and U.N.Framework Convention on Climate Change (FCCC)
2. Continuing Conciliation Without Formal Political Agreement? – The thorny issue of Taiwan’s international participation has been resolved case by case since 2008, without a package deal • Taiwan’s diplomatic allies have surprisingly remained unchanged for 5 years（Gambia); Taiwan’s participation in WHA • Ma’s request in his inauguration speech: activities in International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) and U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change (FCCC)
2.Continuing Conciliation Without Formal Political Agreement? Necessity of peace talks as results of deepening economic,cultural,and social changes between the two sides Political relations between the two prior to unification needs to be redefined in order to promote further exchanges in order to following a clear path rather than muddling through
2. Continuing Conciliation Without Formal Political Agreement? • Necessity of peace talks as results of deepening economic, cultural, and social changes between the two sides – Political relations between the two prior to unification needs to be redefined in order to promote further exchanges in order to following a clear path rather than muddling through